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icon for Khamenei # posts 1. September - 8. September 2026?

Khamenei # posts 1. September - 8. September 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts 1. September - 8. September 2026?

Khamenei # posts 1. September - 8. September 2026?

<5 89%

5-9 17%

10-14 10.5%

15-19 8.0%

Polymarket
NEU

<5 89%

5-9 17%

10-14 10.5%

15-19 8.0%

Polymarket
NEU

<5

$268 Vol.

80%

5-9

$0 Vol.

17%

10-14

$0 Vol.

11%

15-19

$0 Vol.

8%

20-24

$0 Vol.

2%

25-29

$0 Vol.

2%

30-34

$8 Vol.

2%

35-39

$8 Vol.

1%

40-44

$8 Vol.

1%

45-49

$8 Vol.

1%

50-54

$8 Vol.

1%

55-59

$8 Vol.

1%

60+

$8 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei’s social media activity remains minimal amid persistent health and security constraints following his father’s death in early 2026.** The current Supreme Leader has issued only written statements read by state media and avoided video, audio, or frequent public posts since taking office, with his X account (@Rahbarenghelab_ and related official channels) reflecting similarly limited output. Recent reporting highlights ongoing recovery from injuries, assassination risks, and delegation of routine communications, which have kept direct or high-volume posting rare even as the regime manages an active conflict. Official channels continue occasional statements on behalf of the late Ali Khamenei, but these do not indicate a shift toward higher frequency. Traders therefore assign an 80% implied probability to fewer than five posts in the September 1–8 window, consistent with the pattern of restrained digital engagement over the prior six months.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$324
Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei’s social media activity remains minimal amid persistent health and security constraints following his father’s death in early 2026.** The current Supreme Leader has issued only written statements read by state media and avoided video, audio, or frequent public posts since taking office, with his X account (@Rahbarenghelab_ and related official channels) reflecting similarly limited output. Recent reporting highlights ongoing recovery from injuries, assassination risks, and delegation of routine communications, which have kept direct or high-volume posting rare even as the regime manages an active conflict. Official channels continue occasional statements on behalf of the late Ali Khamenei, but these do not indicate a shift toward higher frequency. Traders therefore assign an 80% implied probability to fewer than five posts in the September 1–8 window, consistent with the pattern of restrained digital engagement over the prior six months.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$324
Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Khamenei # posts 1. September - 8. September 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<5" mit 80%, gefolgt von „5-9" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 80¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Khamenei # posts 1. September - 8. September 2026?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 29, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Khamenei # posts 1. September - 8. September 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Khamenei # posts 1. September - 8. September 2026?" ist „<5" mit 80%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „5-9" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Khamenei # posts 1. September - 8. September 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.