In the Jean-Lesage riding of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire holds a narrow lead in recent polling aggregates and commands the highest market probability at 58.5 percent, reflecting his established profile as co-spokesperson and the party's 2022 vote share of nearly 38 percent. Claude Villeneuve of the Parti québécois sits second at 28.5 percent, buoyed by his late-August candidacy announcement and the party's competitive positioning in Capital-Nationale projections that place PQ within a few points of QS. Conservative, CAQ, and Liberal candidates trail further, with vote-splitting among right-leaning options and the absence of a clear frontrunner in a multi-party contest keeping the outcome uncertain until election-night results and official tallies from Élections Québec are confirmed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJean-Lesage Wahlsieger der Nationalversammlung von Quebec
Sol Zanetti 58%
Claude Villeneuve 29%
Nathalie St-Pierre 6%
Nancy Joannette 1.0%

Sol Zanetti
58%

Claude Villeneuve
29%

Nathalie St-Pierre
6%

Nancy Joannette
1%

Gertrude Bourdon
1%
Sol Zanetti 58%
Claude Villeneuve 29%
Nathalie St-Pierre 6%
Nancy Joannette 1.0%

Sol Zanetti
58%

Claude Villeneuve
29%

Nathalie St-Pierre
6%

Nancy Joannette
1%

Gertrude Bourdon
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...In the Jean-Lesage riding of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire holds a narrow lead in recent polling aggregates and commands the highest market probability at 58.5 percent, reflecting his established profile as co-spokesperson and the party's 2022 vote share of nearly 38 percent. Claude Villeneuve of the Parti québécois sits second at 28.5 percent, buoyed by his late-August candidacy announcement and the party's competitive positioning in Capital-Nationale projections that place PQ within a few points of QS. Conservative, CAQ, and Liberal candidates trail further, with vote-splitting among right-leaning options and the absence of a clear frontrunner in a multi-party contest keeping the outcome uncertain until election-night results and official tallies from Élections Québec are confirmed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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