**Trader sentiment for Bab el-Mandeb Strait transits during the week of August 31 reflects a narrow band of outcomes centered on 170–209 vessels, driven by persistent but uneven recovery amid elevated geopolitical risk.** Recent AIS and JMIC data show weekly volumes stabilizing near 260–270 after a mid-July dip tied to Houthi threats and Saudi-linked routing restrictions, with modest week-over-week gains in containerships, bulkers, and tankers through late August. Elevated war-risk premiums and selective dark transits continue to constrain mainstream flows, keeping totals well below pre-2024 baselines while major carriers incrementally restore Suez routings. The close split between the 190–209 and 170–189 buckets underscores sensitivity to last-minute data revisions, attack reports, and insurance availability, with any escalation likely widening the gap toward lower bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Schiffe durchfahren die Bab el-Mandeb-Straße in der Woche vom 31. August?
Wie viele Schiffe durchfahren die Bab el-Mandeb-Straße in der Woche vom 31. August?
190-209 40%
170-189 35%
210-229 22%
230+ 5%
$34,574 Vol.
$34,574 Vol.
6. Sep. 2026
<170
2%
170-189
35%
190-209
40%
210-229
22%
230+
5%
190-209 40%
170-189 35%
210-229 22%
230+ 5%
$34,574 Vol.
$34,574 Vol.
6. Sep. 2026
<170
$1,303 Vol.
2%
170-189
$3,915 Vol.
35%
190-209
$5,017 Vol.
40%
210-229
$10,157 Vol.
22%
230+
$14,182 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 31, 2026, through September 6, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.**Trader sentiment for Bab el-Mandeb Strait transits during the week of August 31 reflects a narrow band of outcomes centered on 170–209 vessels, driven by persistent but uneven recovery amid elevated geopolitical risk.** Recent AIS and JMIC data show weekly volumes stabilizing near 260–270 after a mid-July dip tied to Houthi threats and Saudi-linked routing restrictions, with modest week-over-week gains in containerships, bulkers, and tankers through late August. Elevated war-risk premiums and selective dark transits continue to constrain mainstream flows, keeping totals well below pre-2024 baselines while major carriers incrementally restore Suez routings. The close split between the 190–209 and 170–189 buckets underscores sensitivity to last-minute data revisions, attack reports, and insurance availability, with any escalation likely widening the gap toward lower bins.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 31, 2026, through September 6, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volumen
$34,574Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 6:08 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 31, 2026, through September 6, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.**Trader sentiment for Bab el-Mandeb Strait transits during the week of August 31 reflects a narrow band of outcomes centered on 170–209 vessels, driven by persistent but uneven recovery amid elevated geopolitical risk.** Recent AIS and JMIC data show weekly volumes stabilizing near 260–270 after a mid-July dip tied to Houthi threats and Saudi-linked routing restrictions, with modest week-over-week gains in containerships, bulkers, and tankers through late August. Elevated war-risk premiums and selective dark transits continue to constrain mainstream flows, keeping totals well below pre-2024 baselines while major carriers incrementally restore Suez routings. The close split between the 190–209 and 170–189 buckets underscores sensitivity to last-minute data revisions, attack reports, and insurance availability, with any escalation likely widening the gap toward lower bins.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 31, 2026, through September 6, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
Volumen
$34,574Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 6:08 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Bab el-Mandeb Strait transits during the week of August 31 reflects a narrow band of outcomes centered on 170–209 vessels, driven by persistent but uneven recovery amid elevated geopolitical risk.** Recent AIS and JMIC data show weekly volumes stabilizing near 260–270 after a mid-July dip tied to Houthi threats and Saudi-linked routing restrictions, with modest week-over-week gains in containerships, bulkers, and tankers through late August. Elevated war-risk premiums and selective dark transits continue to constrain mainstream flows, keeping totals well below pre-2024 baselines while major carriers incrementally restore Suez routings. The close split between the 190–209 and 170–189 buckets underscores sensitivity to last-minute data revisions, attack reports, and insurance availability, with any escalation likely widening the gap toward lower bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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