Recent ensemble forecasts from European and GFS models indicate Warsaw will reach a daily maximum near 19–20°C on August 18 under westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers limiting insolation and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions represent a notable cool anomaly relative to the 23–26°C August climatological average, tightening market-implied probabilities around the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Short-range model consensus and real-time observations, including those from IMGW-PIB stations, continue to support modest daytime warming potential only if frontal passage delays, while any earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower bins. Updated runs and official 24-hour maximum reports will refine the final threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 18. August?
20°C 45%
19°C 28%
18°C 12%
21°C 12%
NEU
$20,610 Vol.
NEU
$20,610 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
12%
19°C
28%
20°C
45%
21°C
12%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 45%
19°C 28%
18°C 12%
21°C 12%
NEU
$20,610 Vol.
NEU
$20,610 Vol.
18. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
$290 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,034 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,644 Vol.
4%
18°C
$4,867 Vol.
12%
19°C
$3,739 Vol.
28%
20°C
$4,110 Vol.
45%
21°C
$1,596 Vol.
12%
22°C
$999 Vol.
1%
23°C
$806 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and GFS models indicate Warsaw will reach a daily maximum near 19–20°C on August 18 under westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers limiting insolation and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions represent a notable cool anomaly relative to the 23–26°C August climatological average, tightening market-implied probabilities around the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Short-range model consensus and real-time observations, including those from IMGW-PIB stations, continue to support modest daytime warming potential only if frontal passage delays, while any earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower bins. Updated runs and official 24-hour maximum reports will refine the final threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$20,610Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and GFS models indicate Warsaw will reach a daily maximum near 19–20°C on August 18 under westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers limiting insolation and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions represent a notable cool anomaly relative to the 23–26°C August climatological average, tightening market-implied probabilities around the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Short-range model consensus and real-time observations, including those from IMGW-PIB stations, continue to support modest daytime warming potential only if frontal passage delays, while any earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower bins. Updated runs and official 24-hour maximum reports will refine the final threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,610Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European and GFS models indicate Warsaw will reach a daily maximum near 19–20°C on August 18 under westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers limiting insolation and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions represent a notable cool anomaly relative to the 23–26°C August climatological average, tightening market-implied probabilities around the 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Short-range model consensus and real-time observations, including those from IMGW-PIB stations, continue to support modest daytime warming potential only if frontal passage delays, while any earlier or heavier precipitation would favor the lower bins. Updated runs and official 24-hour maximum reports will refine the final threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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