Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo high of 33°C on August 21, with nearby model guidance centering on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat retention, keeping 30–32°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. August climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C, but short-term steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon can suppress or enhance daytime warming by several degrees depending on cloud timing. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 21. August?
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
9%
30°C
29%
31°C
36%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$138 Vol.
2%
28°C
$28 Vol.
4%
29°C
$68 Vol.
9%
30°C
$94 Vol.
29%
31°C
$187 Vol.
36%
32°C
$29 Vol.
19%
33°C
$27 Vol.
6%
34°C
$121 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo high of 33°C on August 21, with nearby model guidance centering on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat retention, keeping 30–32°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. August climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C, but short-term steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon can suppress or enhance daytime warming by several degrees depending on cloud timing. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,102Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo high of 33°C on August 21, with nearby model guidance centering on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat retention, keeping 30–32°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. August climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C, but short-term steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon can suppress or enhance daytime warming by several degrees depending on cloud timing. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,102Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo high of 33°C on August 21, with nearby model guidance centering on 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions introduce uncertainty in peak insolation and urban heat retention, keeping 30–32°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. August climatology shows typical maxima near 31°C, but short-term steering patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon can suppress or enhance daytime warming by several degrees depending on cloud timing. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive the narrowest probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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