Persistent subtropical high pressure and mostly clear skies are driving Miami's elevated temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance showing a forecast high near 95°F for August 20 amid heat indices above 105°F. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze convection and thunderstorm timing, which could cap the peak in the low-to-mid 90s or allow a brief push to 94–95°F depending on cloud cover and rainfall onset. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 92–93°F versus 94–95°F, reflecting typical late-August variability around the 89°F climatological average. Updated NWS and NOAA model guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 20. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 20. August?
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 40%
96-97°F 7%
90-91°F 6%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
43%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F oder höher
<1%
94-95°F 43%
92-93°F 40%
96-97°F 7%
90-91°F 6%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
83°F or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$362 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$487 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$383 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$961 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$984 Vol.
40%
94-95°F
$1,185 Vol.
43%
96-97°F
$1,522 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$307 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$112 Vol.
<1%
102°F oder höher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and mostly clear skies are driving Miami's elevated temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance showing a forecast high near 95°F for August 20 amid heat indices above 105°F. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze convection and thunderstorm timing, which could cap the peak in the low-to-mid 90s or allow a brief push to 94–95°F depending on cloud cover and rainfall onset. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 92–93°F versus 94–95°F, reflecting typical late-August variability around the 89°F climatological average. Updated NWS and NOAA model guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volumen
$6,474Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and mostly clear skies are driving Miami's elevated temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance showing a forecast high near 95°F for August 20 amid heat indices above 105°F. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze convection and thunderstorm timing, which could cap the peak in the low-to-mid 90s or allow a brief push to 94–95°F depending on cloud cover and rainfall onset. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 92–93°F versus 94–95°F, reflecting typical late-August variability around the 89°F climatological average. Updated NWS and NOAA model guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,474Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and mostly clear skies are driving Miami's elevated temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance showing a forecast high near 95°F for August 20 amid heat indices above 105°F. Recent model runs highlight uncertainty in afternoon sea-breeze convection and thunderstorm timing, which could cap the peak in the low-to-mid 90s or allow a brief push to 94–95°F depending on cloud cover and rainfall onset. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds for 92–93°F versus 94–95°F, reflecting typical late-August variability around the 89°F climatological average. Updated NWS and NOAA model guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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