Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a northwest flow with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and limited afternoon sunshine on September 2, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C under typical early-September humidity levels around 70–95%. This positions 29–31°C outcomes as closely contested in trader consensus, as variable cloud cover and shower timing can suppress peaks by 1–2°C while brief clear spells allow brief warming toward 31°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, but the current steering pattern and reduced thunderstorm activity relative to late August favor the lower end of that range without strong subsidence or clear-sky radiative heating to push higher. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution criteria tied to official observatory readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?
29°C 33%
30°C 29%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
17%
29°C
33%
30°C
29%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
30°C 29%
28°C 17%
31°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
17%
29°C
33%
30°C
29%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate a northwest flow with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and limited afternoon sunshine on September 2, supporting maximum temperatures near 30–31°C under typical early-September humidity levels around 70–95%. This positions 29–31°C outcomes as closely contested in trader consensus, as variable cloud cover and shower timing can suppress peaks by 1–2°C while brief clear spells allow brief warming toward 31°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, but the current steering pattern and reduced thunderstorm activity relative to late August favor the lower end of that range without strong subsidence or clear-sky radiative heating to push higher. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution criteria tied to official observatory readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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