Recent forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and high humidity near 70%. Light winds and persistent cloud cover limit daytime solar heating, while precipitation enhances evaporative cooling, keeping values below seasonal averages for mid-September. Model consensus shows minor disagreements on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which directly influence whether the peak reaches 26°C or stays at 24°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Updated observations and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 14. September?
25°C 30%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
27°C 10%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
4%
23°C
8%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
21%
27°C
10%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31 °C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 26%
26°C 21%
27°C 10%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
$169 Vol.
4%
23°C
$208 Vol.
8%
24°C
$995 Vol.
26%
25°C
$247 Vol.
30%
26°C
$285 Vol.
21%
27°C
$399 Vol.
10%
28°C
$361 Vol.
4%
29°C
$232 Vol.
2%
30°C
$140 Vol.
1%
31 °C
$303 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$315 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and high humidity near 70%. Light winds and persistent cloud cover limit daytime solar heating, while precipitation enhances evaporative cooling, keeping values below seasonal averages for mid-September. Model consensus shows minor disagreements on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which directly influence whether the peak reaches 26°C or stays at 24°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Updated observations and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$3,654Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and high humidity near 70%. Light winds and persistent cloud cover limit daytime solar heating, while precipitation enhances evaporative cooling, keeping values below seasonal averages for mid-September. Model consensus shows minor disagreements on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which directly influence whether the peak reaches 26°C or stays at 24°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Updated observations and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,654Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and high humidity near 70%. Light winds and persistent cloud cover limit daytime solar heating, while precipitation enhances evaporative cooling, keeping values below seasonal averages for mid-September. Model consensus shows minor disagreements on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which directly influence whether the peak reaches 26°C or stays at 24°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Updated observations and short-range model runs expected overnight will refine resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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