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icon for Sieger der ersten Runde bei der GA-13-Hauswahl?
Politik·Midterms

Sieger der ersten Runde bei der GA-13-Hauswahl?

icon for Sieger der ersten Runde bei der GA-13-Hauswahl?
Politik·Midterms

Sieger der ersten Runde bei der GA-13-Hauswahl?

Ja

94% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

94% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.**Georgia's 13th Congressional District is a heavily Democratic Atlanta-area seat.** In the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Rep. David Scott, multiple Democratic candidates split the vote, with Marcye Scott at roughly 46-47% and Everton Blair Jr. at 36-37%, forcing an August 25 runoff. Republicans received under 14% combined. For the November 3, 2026 general election, the field has consolidated to Jasmine Clark (D) against Jonathan Chavez (R). The district's consistent Democratic performance, low Republican support, and single major-party matchup on each side make a first-round majority for the Democratic nominee highly probable. Traders price the outright-winner outcome at 93.5% because historical results, the special-election vote split showing broad Democratic strength, and the absence of significant third-party or vote-splitting dynamics all point to one candidate clearing 50% on election night. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected turnout shifts remain the only realistic variables that could alter this consensus.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Volumen
$308
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.**Georgia's 13th Congressional District is a heavily Democratic Atlanta-area seat.** In the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Rep. David Scott, multiple Democratic candidates split the vote, with Marcye Scott at roughly 46-47% and Everton Blair Jr. at 36-37%, forcing an August 25 runoff. Republicans received under 14% combined. For the November 3, 2026 general election, the field has consolidated to Jasmine Clark (D) against Jonathan Chavez (R). The district's consistent Democratic performance, low Republican support, and single major-party matchup on each side make a first-round majority for the Democratic nominee highly probable. Traders price the outright-winner outcome at 93.5% because historical results, the special-election vote split showing broad Democratic strength, and the absence of significant third-party or vote-splitting dynamics all point to one candidate clearing 50% on election night. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals or unexpected turnout shifts remain the only realistic variables that could alter this consensus.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Volumen
$308
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.

Verwandte

icon for Erstrunden-Gesamtsieger bei der GA-14-Kongresswahl?

Erstrunden-Gesamtsieger bei der GA-14-Kongresswahl?

75%
Ja
icon for Sieger der ersten Runde in der GA-01-Kongresswahl?

Sieger der ersten Runde in der GA-01-Kongresswahl?

88%
Ja
icon for Erstrundensieger bei der GA-12 Hauswahl?

Erstrundensieger bei der GA-12 Hauswahl?

95%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Sieger der ersten Runde bei der GA-13-Hauswahl?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Erstrundensieger bei der GA-13 Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus?" mit 94%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 94¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 94% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Sieger der ersten Runde bei der GA-13-Hauswahl?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Sieger der ersten Runde bei der GA-13-Hauswahl?" ist „Erstrundensieger bei der GA-13 Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus?" mit 94%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 94% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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