Minnesota’s structural Democratic advantage and Peggy Flanagan’s position as lieutenant governor underpin trader consensus around her commanding lead in the open-seat race. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote after Tina Smith declined to seek a second term, while Michele Tafoya prevailed in the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, consistent with recent polling showing the Democratic candidate ahead on both specific and generic ballots. Tafoya’s limited statewide profile and the state’s recent voting patterns further reinforce the gap. Shifts could still arise from national political waves, late-cycle developments, or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
91%
Republikaner
9%
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat
$31,632 Vol.
91%
Republikaner
$15,862 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota’s structural Democratic advantage and Peggy Flanagan’s position as lieutenant governor underpin trader consensus around her commanding lead in the open-seat race. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote after Tina Smith declined to seek a second term, while Michele Tafoya prevailed in the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, consistent with recent polling showing the Democratic candidate ahead on both specific and generic ballots. Tafoya’s limited statewide profile and the state’s recent voting patterns further reinforce the gap. Shifts could still arise from national political waves, late-cycle developments, or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$47,494Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota’s structural Democratic advantage and Peggy Flanagan’s position as lieutenant governor underpin trader consensus around her commanding lead in the open-seat race. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote after Tina Smith declined to seek a second term, while Michele Tafoya prevailed in the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, consistent with recent polling showing the Democratic candidate ahead on both specific and generic ballots. Tafoya’s limited statewide profile and the state’s recent voting patterns further reinforce the gap. Shifts could still arise from national political waves, late-cycle developments, or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$47,494Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota’s structural Democratic advantage and Peggy Flanagan’s position as lieutenant governor underpin trader consensus around her commanding lead in the open-seat race. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 59 percent of the vote after Tina Smith declined to seek a second term, while Michele Tafoya prevailed in the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Democratic, consistent with recent polling showing the Democratic candidate ahead on both specific and generic ballots. Tafoya’s limited statewide profile and the state’s recent voting patterns further reinforce the gap. Shifts could still arise from national political waves, late-cycle developments, or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the November 3 election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen