**Northwesterly winds and clearing conditions are the dominant factors supporting elevated minimum temperatures in Wellington on August 23, 2026.** MetService forecasts show a high of 15°C with an overnight low near 8°C as morning showers clear, while strong northwesterlies ease through the day. These winds typically advect milder air masses from the north, limiting radiative cooling and reducing frost risk compared to southerly flows earlier in the month. Trader positioning around 11–12°C (combined implied probability exceeding 90%) reflects expectations that the wind regime will keep the daily minimum above standard model guidance, consistent with historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Official observations from MetService stations will determine the exact minimum, with any late-day model runs or real-time wind observations serving as key near-term catalysts. Uncertainty remains around exact wind strength and cloud cover timing, which can shift the low by 1–2°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
12°C 42%
9°C 19%
10°C 19%
8°C 15%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
15%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
52%
12°C
42%
13°C
5%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
12°C 42%
9°C 19%
10°C 19%
8°C 15%
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
15%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
52%
12°C
42%
13°C
5%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northwesterly winds and clearing conditions are the dominant factors supporting elevated minimum temperatures in Wellington on August 23, 2026.** MetService forecasts show a high of 15°C with an overnight low near 8°C as morning showers clear, while strong northwesterlies ease through the day. These winds typically advect milder air masses from the north, limiting radiative cooling and reducing frost risk compared to southerly flows earlier in the month. Trader positioning around 11–12°C (combined implied probability exceeding 90%) reflects expectations that the wind regime will keep the daily minimum above standard model guidance, consistent with historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Official observations from MetService stations will determine the exact minimum, with any late-day model runs or real-time wind observations serving as key near-term catalysts. Uncertainty remains around exact wind strength and cloud cover timing, which can shift the low by 1–2°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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