**Trader consensus centers on a 31°C daily maximum in Tokyo on August 23, 2026, at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs projecting a high near 31°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers.** August climatology places typical Tokyo highs around 30.6°C, and current conditions—overcast with light easterly winds, humidity near 65-70%, and rain chances limiting insolation—align with this range rather than hotter outcomes. Recent observations on the day have hovered near 30-32°C, with no strong warming signals from steering patterns or reduced cloud cover to push peaks higher. The 32°C bin (18%) captures upside uncertainty in model spread, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the moderating effects of precipitation and limited solar heating. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon observations remain the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
31°C 50%
30°C 30%
32°C 17%
33°C 2%
$36,346 Vol.
$36,346 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
30%
31°C
57%
32°C
17%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
30°C 30%
32°C 17%
33°C 2%
$36,346 Vol.
$36,346 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,754 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,661 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,796 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,371 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,463 Vol.
30%
31°C
$3,161 Vol.
57%
32°C
$3,458 Vol.
17%
33°C
$2,726 Vol.
2%
34°C
$939 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,408 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 31°C daily maximum in Tokyo on August 23, 2026, at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs projecting a high near 31°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers.**
August climatology places typical Tokyo highs around 30.6°C, and current conditions—overcast with light easterly winds, humidity near 65-70%, and rain chances limiting insolation—align with this range rather than hotter outcomes. Recent observations on the day have hovered near 30-32°C, with no strong warming signals from steering patterns or reduced cloud cover to push peaks higher. The 32°C bin (18%) captures upside uncertainty in model spread, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the moderating effects of precipitation and limited solar heating. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon observations remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$36,346শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 31°C daily maximum in Tokyo on August 23, 2026, at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs projecting a high near 31°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers.**
August climatology places typical Tokyo highs around 30.6°C, and current conditions—overcast with light easterly winds, humidity near 65-70%, and rain chances limiting insolation—align with this range rather than hotter outcomes. Recent observations on the day have hovered near 30-32°C, with no strong warming signals from steering patterns or reduced cloud cover to push peaks higher. The 32°C bin (18%) captures upside uncertainty in model spread, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the moderating effects of precipitation and limited solar heating. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon observations remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$36,346শেষ তারিখ
Aug 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 31°C daily maximum in Tokyo on August 23, 2026, at 61.5% implied probability, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs projecting a high near 31°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers.** August climatology places typical Tokyo highs around 30.6°C, and current conditions—overcast with light easterly winds, humidity near 65-70%, and rain chances limiting insolation—align with this range rather than hotter outcomes. Recent observations on the day have hovered near 30-32°C, with no strong warming signals from steering patterns or reduced cloud cover to push peaks higher. The 32°C bin (18%) captures upside uncertainty in model spread, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect the moderating effects of precipitation and limited solar heating. Updated JMA guidance and afternoon observations remain the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা