Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Beijing's August 25 maximum near 31–33 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three bins. Southerly flow advects moderate moisture while scattered afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover limit surface heating, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs decline from mid-month peaks. Day-to-day variability in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces the narrow spread separating the leading outcomes, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the consensus before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical analogs showing occasional 34 °C spikes under clearer conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on August 25?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 25?
31°C 30%
32°C 30%
33°C 27%
29°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
30%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
32°C 30%
33°C 27%
29°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
2%
29°C
$20 Vol.
11%
30°C
$5 Vol.
10%
31°C
$19 Vol.
28%
32°C
$0 Vol.
30%
33°C
$5 Vol.
27%
34°C
$13 Vol.
12%
35°C
$5 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Beijing's August 25 maximum near 31–33 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three bins. Southerly flow advects moderate moisture while scattered afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover limit surface heating, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs decline from mid-month peaks. Day-to-day variability in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces the narrow spread separating the leading outcomes, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the consensus before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical analogs showing occasional 34 °C spikes under clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$82শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Beijing's August 25 maximum near 31–33 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three bins. Southerly flow advects moderate moisture while scattered afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover limit surface heating, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs decline from mid-month peaks. Day-to-day variability in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces the narrow spread separating the leading outcomes, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the consensus before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical analogs showing occasional 34 °C spikes under clearer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$82শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Beijing's August 25 maximum near 31–33 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three bins. Southerly flow advects moderate moisture while scattered afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover limit surface heating, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs decline from mid-month peaks. Day-to-day variability in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces the narrow spread separating the leading outcomes, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine the consensus before resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical analogs showing occasional 34 °C spikes under clearer conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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