Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across western Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's August 25 maximum temperatures centered on 30–32 °C, with PAGASA forecasting 31 °C or lower under 60–90 % rain chances and widespread cloud cover. Enhanced convection and reduced insolation from scattered thunderstorms and thick stratiform clouds suppress peak heating relative to clearer monsoon breaks. Model consensus from recent PAGASA and extended outlooks shows limited diurnal warming potential, consistent with historical August baselines near 30–31 °C when the monsoon is active. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32 °C (27 %) and 31 °C (24 %), while warmer outcomes above 33 °C remain low-probability unless a brief clearing develops. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will refine these near-term variables.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on August 25?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 25?
32°C 28%
31°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
24%
32°C
28%
33°C
14%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 28%
31°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 14%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$112 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$20 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$0 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
28%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across western Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's August 25 maximum temperatures centered on 30–32 °C, with PAGASA forecasting 31 °C or lower under 60–90 % rain chances and widespread cloud cover. Enhanced convection and reduced insolation from scattered thunderstorms and thick stratiform clouds suppress peak heating relative to clearer monsoon breaks. Model consensus from recent PAGASA and extended outlooks shows limited diurnal warming potential, consistent with historical August baselines near 30–31 °C when the monsoon is active. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32 °C (27 %) and 31 °C (24 %), while warmer outcomes above 33 °C remain low-probability unless a brief clearing develops. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will refine these near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ভলিউম
$137শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across western Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's August 25 maximum temperatures centered on 30–32 °C, with PAGASA forecasting 31 °C or lower under 60–90 % rain chances and widespread cloud cover. Enhanced convection and reduced insolation from scattered thunderstorms and thick stratiform clouds suppress peak heating relative to clearer monsoon breaks. Model consensus from recent PAGASA and extended outlooks shows limited diurnal warming potential, consistent with historical August baselines near 30–31 °C when the monsoon is active. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32 °C (27 %) and 31 °C (24 %), while warmer outcomes above 33 °C remain low-probability unless a brief clearing develops. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will refine these near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$137শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across western Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's August 25 maximum temperatures centered on 30–32 °C, with PAGASA forecasting 31 °C or lower under 60–90 % rain chances and widespread cloud cover. Enhanced convection and reduced insolation from scattered thunderstorms and thick stratiform clouds suppress peak heating relative to clearer monsoon breaks. Model consensus from recent PAGASA and extended outlooks shows limited diurnal warming potential, consistent with historical August baselines near 30–31 °C when the monsoon is active. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32 °C (27 %) and 31 °C (24 %), while warmer outcomes above 33 °C remain low-probability unless a brief clearing develops. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing will refine these near-term variables.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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