Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to a Tokyo minimum of 25°C on August 24 under high pressure with moist southerly flow and partly cloudy overnight conditions that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment splits narrowly between 25°C and 26°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point advection, and urban heat retention can shift the overnight low by 1°C; current surface observations near 26–27°C with light winds support the close probabilities. Higher outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected warm-air intrusion, while lower values would require clearer skies and stronger cooling than projected. Updated JMA guidance and evening model runs will likely resolve the narrow gap before market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
23°C 11%
27°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
50%
26°C
41%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 41%
23°C 11%
27°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C
50%
26°C
41%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to a Tokyo minimum of 25°C on August 24 under high pressure with moist southerly flow and partly cloudy overnight conditions that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment splits narrowly between 25°C and 26°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point advection, and urban heat retention can shift the overnight low by 1°C; current surface observations near 26–27°C with light winds support the close probabilities. Higher outcomes remain unlikely without unexpected warm-air intrusion, while lower values would require clearer skies and stronger cooling than projected. Updated JMA guidance and evening model runs will likely resolve the narrow gap before market close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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