**Market-implied odds favor a 24°C minimum in Tokyo on August 10, reflecting strong consensus from official forecasts amid typical midsummer conditions.** Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, issued August 9, projects a 24°C overnight low under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning with the normal daily minimum of 23.8°C and recent model runs showing limited variability. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and cloud cover from weak frontal activity help anchor lows near or slightly above the seasonal baseline rather than allowing radiational cooling to push temperatures lower. Nearby ensemble guidance and extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather similarly cluster around 24–25°C, explaining the combined 79% probability on those two outcomes. With only modest day-to-day fluctuations expected and no incoming tropical systems or unusual synoptic patterns, the market positions 24°C as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
24°C 54%
25°C 26%
23°C 10%
26°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
54%
25°C
26%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 54%
25°C 26%
23°C 10%
26°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
$310 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$196 Vol.
1%
23°C
$368 Vol.
10%
24°C
$2,146 Vol.
54%
25°C
$746 Vol.
26%
26°C
$347 Vol.
4%
27°C
$313 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 24°C minimum in Tokyo on August 10, reflecting strong consensus from official forecasts amid typical midsummer conditions.** Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, issued August 9, projects a 24°C overnight low under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning with the normal daily minimum of 23.8°C and recent model runs showing limited variability. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and cloud cover from weak frontal activity help anchor lows near or slightly above the seasonal baseline rather than allowing radiational cooling to push temperatures lower. Nearby ensemble guidance and extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather similarly cluster around 24–25°C, explaining the combined 79% probability on those two outcomes. With only modest day-to-day fluctuations expected and no incoming tropical systems or unusual synoptic patterns, the market positions 24°C as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$5,590শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 24°C minimum in Tokyo on August 10, reflecting strong consensus from official forecasts amid typical midsummer conditions.** Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, issued August 9, projects a 24°C overnight low under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning with the normal daily minimum of 23.8°C and recent model runs showing limited variability. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and cloud cover from weak frontal activity help anchor lows near or slightly above the seasonal baseline rather than allowing radiational cooling to push temperatures lower. Nearby ensemble guidance and extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather similarly cluster around 24–25°C, explaining the combined 79% probability on those two outcomes. With only modest day-to-day fluctuations expected and no incoming tropical systems or unusual synoptic patterns, the market positions 24°C as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$5,590শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a 24°C minimum in Tokyo on August 10, reflecting strong consensus from official forecasts amid typical midsummer conditions.** Japan Meteorological Agency guidance, issued August 9, projects a 24°C overnight low under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, aligning with the normal daily minimum of 23.8°C and recent model runs showing limited variability. Persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and cloud cover from weak frontal activity help anchor lows near or slightly above the seasonal baseline rather than allowing radiational cooling to push temperatures lower. Nearby ensemble guidance and extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather similarly cluster around 24–25°C, explaining the combined 79% probability on those two outcomes. With only modest day-to-day fluctuations expected and no incoming tropical systems or unusual synoptic patterns, the market positions 24°C as the most probable resolution threshold ahead of final observational data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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