Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum of 13°C on August 9 under northerly to northwesterly winds, with limited cloud and shower activity that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 14°C (60.5% implied probability) and 15°C (23%), as traders incorporate ensemble guidance showing temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average high of 14°C. NIWA's winter outlook reinforces near-average conditions across the North Island amid transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns, reducing the chance of strong southerly outbreaks that would cap highs at 12–13°C. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable, with any shift toward clearer skies or stronger northerlies likely to sustain the current pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
14°C 61%
15°C 24%
13°C 12%
16°C 3%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
12%
14°C
61%
15°C
24%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 61%
15°C 24%
13°C 12%
16°C 3%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$315 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,751 Vol.
12%
14°C
$1,365 Vol.
61%
15°C
$2,247 Vol.
24%
16°C
$207 Vol.
3%
17°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum of 13°C on August 9 under northerly to northwesterly winds, with limited cloud and shower activity that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 14°C (60.5% implied probability) and 15°C (23%), as traders incorporate ensemble guidance showing temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average high of 14°C. NIWA's winter outlook reinforces near-average conditions across the North Island amid transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns, reducing the chance of strong southerly outbreaks that would cap highs at 12–13°C. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable, with any shift toward clearer skies or stronger northerlies likely to sustain the current pricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,496শেষ তারিখ
Aug 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum of 13°C on August 9 under northerly to northwesterly winds, with limited cloud and shower activity that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 14°C (60.5% implied probability) and 15°C (23%), as traders incorporate ensemble guidance showing temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average high of 14°C. NIWA's winter outlook reinforces near-average conditions across the North Island amid transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns, reducing the chance of strong southerly outbreaks that would cap highs at 12–13°C. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable, with any shift toward clearer skies or stronger northerlies likely to sustain the current pricing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$7,496শেষ তারিখ
Aug 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService forecasts for Wellington point to a daytime maximum of 13°C on August 9 under northerly to northwesterly winds, with limited cloud and shower activity that supports modest warming above seasonal norms. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 14°C (60.5% implied probability) and 15°C (23%), as traders incorporate ensemble guidance showing temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average high of 14°C. NIWA's winter outlook reinforces near-average conditions across the North Island amid transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns, reducing the chance of strong southerly outbreaks that would cap highs at 12–13°C. Short-range model updates through the weekend remain the key variable, with any shift toward clearer skies or stronger northerlies likely to sustain the current pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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