Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a 33–34°C range for the August 7 maximum, driven by typical southwest monsoon flow with moderate southwesterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that could limit afternoon heating. Recent subsidence after earlier rain events has allowed partial clearing, supporting the narrow lead for 34°C in trader consensus, though increased cloud cover or timing of convection introduces uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, with urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral conditions this season tilting slightly above normal. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
34°C 43%
33°C 35%
35°C 16%
36°C 7%
$26,735 Vol.
$26,735 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
35%
34°C
43%
35°C
16%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 35%
35°C 16%
36°C 7%
$26,735 Vol.
$26,735 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
35%
34°C
43%
35°C
16%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a 33–34°C range for the August 7 maximum, driven by typical southwest monsoon flow with moderate southwesterly winds, high humidity near 80%, and scattered showers that could limit afternoon heating. Recent subsidence after earlier rain events has allowed partial clearing, supporting the narrow lead for 34°C in trader consensus, though increased cloud cover or timing of convection introduces uncertainty between the top two outcomes. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, with urban heat island effects and ENSO-neutral conditions this season tilting slightly above normal. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা