**Wellington's early August climate features typical winter highs near 12–13°C, driven by its maritime setting where cool Southern Ocean air masses and frequent southerly winds limit daytime warming.** NIWA's June–August 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region, consistent with long-term climatology showing August daily maxima averaging 12–13°C with lows around 6–9°C. Short-range guidance for August 6 points to a high of 9–11°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's concentration on 10°C and 11°C outcomes. Model consensus favors stable, near-normal conditions without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection that could push readings to 12°C or above, while the low odds on 9°C or cooler reflect limited risk of stronger southerlies. Updated regional forecasts and MetService model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
11°C 49%
10°C 35%
12°C 16%
9°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
5%
10°C
35%
11°C
49%
12°C
16%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 49%
10°C 35%
12°C 16%
9°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
$373 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$704 Vol.
5%
10°C
$690 Vol.
35%
11°C
$1,897 Vol.
49%
12°C
$1,517 Vol.
16%
13°C
$579 Vol.
2%
14°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$197 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Wellington's early August climate features typical winter highs near 12–13°C, driven by its maritime setting where cool Southern Ocean air masses and frequent southerly winds limit daytime warming.** NIWA's June–August 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region, consistent with long-term climatology showing August daily maxima averaging 12–13°C with lows around 6–9°C. Short-range guidance for August 6 points to a high of 9–11°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's concentration on 10°C and 11°C outcomes. Model consensus favors stable, near-normal conditions without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection that could push readings to 12°C or above, while the low odds on 9°C or cooler reflect limited risk of stronger southerlies. Updated regional forecasts and MetService model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,260শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Wellington's early August climate features typical winter highs near 12–13°C, driven by its maritime setting where cool Southern Ocean air masses and frequent southerly winds limit daytime warming.** NIWA's June–August 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region, consistent with long-term climatology showing August daily maxima averaging 12–13°C with lows around 6–9°C. Short-range guidance for August 6 points to a high of 9–11°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's concentration on 10°C and 11°C outcomes. Model consensus favors stable, near-normal conditions without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection that could push readings to 12°C or above, while the low odds on 9°C or cooler reflect limited risk of stronger southerlies. Updated regional forecasts and MetService model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$7,260শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Wellington's early August climate features typical winter highs near 12–13°C, driven by its maritime setting where cool Southern Ocean air masses and frequent southerly winds limit daytime warming.** NIWA's June–August 2026 seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region, consistent with long-term climatology showing August daily maxima averaging 12–13°C with lows around 6–9°C. Short-range guidance for August 6 points to a high of 9–11°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's concentration on 10°C and 11°C outcomes. Model consensus favors stable, near-normal conditions without strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection that could push readings to 12°C or above, while the low odds on 9°C or cooler reflect limited risk of stronger southerlies. Updated regional forecasts and MetService model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points that could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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