Forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including those issued by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, currently indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C for Moscow on August 6, supporting the market's tight distribution with 29°C and 30°C leading at 31% and 28% implied probability. This outlook exceeds early-August climatological averages of 22–24°C due to warm air advection and reduced cloud cover expected over the next 48 hours. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2°C variability depending on exact timing of any frontal passage or local urban heat effects. Traders are closely monitoring updated model runs and observational data through August 5 for shifts that could favor 28°C or push probabilities toward 31°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 31%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
27°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
31%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 31%
30°C 28%
28°C 20%
27°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$21 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$5 Vol.
5%
32°C
$20 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$15 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including those issued by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, currently indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C for Moscow on August 6, supporting the market's tight distribution with 29°C and 30°C leading at 31% and 28% implied probability. This outlook exceeds early-August climatological averages of 22–24°C due to warm air advection and reduced cloud cover expected over the next 48 hours. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2°C variability depending on exact timing of any frontal passage or local urban heat effects. Traders are closely monitoring updated model runs and observational data through August 5 for shifts that could favor 28°C or push probabilities toward 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$71শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including those issued by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, currently indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C for Moscow on August 6, supporting the market's tight distribution with 29°C and 30°C leading at 31% and 28% implied probability. This outlook exceeds early-August climatological averages of 22–24°C due to warm air advection and reduced cloud cover expected over the next 48 hours. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2°C variability depending on exact timing of any frontal passage or local urban heat effects. Traders are closely monitoring updated model runs and observational data through August 5 for shifts that could favor 28°C or push probabilities toward 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$71শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from numerical weather prediction models, including those issued by Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, currently indicate a maximum temperature near 29–30°C for Moscow on August 6, supporting the market's tight distribution with 29°C and 30°C leading at 31% and 28% implied probability. This outlook exceeds early-August climatological averages of 22–24°C due to warm air advection and reduced cloud cover expected over the next 48 hours. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2°C variability depending on exact timing of any frontal passage or local urban heat effects. Traders are closely monitoring updated model runs and observational data through August 5 for shifts that could favor 28°C or push probabilities toward 31°C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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