**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 6, 2026, centers on 28°C as the modal outcome (44% implied probability), followed closely by 27°C and 29°C.** This distribution aligns with climatological normals for early August in Istanbul's Mediterranean climate, where average daily highs typically range from 27–29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure, abundant sunshine (around 10–11 hours), and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Ensemble forecasts and seasonal analogs emphasize modest day-to-day variability driven by weak synoptic patterns rather than strong advection or instability. No significant heatwave signals or anomalous blocking patterns appear in current model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical mean of ~28°C while allowing for small shifts from local factors like cloud cover or wind direction. Recent monthly outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and long-term datasets reinforce this range, with limited upside risk above 30°C absent rapid warming. As the date approaches, traders will monitor updated runs from major numerical weather prediction models and official observations for any revisions in maximum temperature expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
28°C 43%
27°C 27%
29°C 21%
30°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
27%
28°C
43%
29°C
21%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 43%
27°C 27%
29°C 21%
30°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$351 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$44 Vol.
1%
25°C
$21 Vol.
5%
26°C
$27 Vol.
4%
27°C
$190 Vol.
27%
28°C
$114 Vol.
43%
29°C
$33 Vol.
21%
30°C
$19 Vol.
9%
31°C
$21 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$21 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 6, 2026, centers on 28°C as the modal outcome (44% implied probability), followed closely by 27°C and 29°C.** This distribution aligns with climatological normals for early August in Istanbul's Mediterranean climate, where average daily highs typically range from 27–29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure, abundant sunshine (around 10–11 hours), and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea.
Ensemble forecasts and seasonal analogs emphasize modest day-to-day variability driven by weak synoptic patterns rather than strong advection or instability. No significant heatwave signals or anomalous blocking patterns appear in current model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical mean of ~28°C while allowing for small shifts from local factors like cloud cover or wind direction. Recent monthly outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and long-term datasets reinforce this range, with limited upside risk above 30°C absent rapid warming.
As the date approaches, traders will monitor updated runs from major numerical weather prediction models and official observations for any revisions in maximum temperature expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,212শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 6, 2026, centers on 28°C as the modal outcome (44% implied probability), followed closely by 27°C and 29°C.** This distribution aligns with climatological normals for early August in Istanbul's Mediterranean climate, where average daily highs typically range from 27–29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure, abundant sunshine (around 10–11 hours), and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea.
Ensemble forecasts and seasonal analogs emphasize modest day-to-day variability driven by weak synoptic patterns rather than strong advection or instability. No significant heatwave signals or anomalous blocking patterns appear in current model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical mean of ~28°C while allowing for small shifts from local factors like cloud cover or wind direction. Recent monthly outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and long-term datasets reinforce this range, with limited upside risk above 30°C absent rapid warming.
As the date approaches, traders will monitor updated runs from major numerical weather prediction models and official observations for any revisions in maximum temperature expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,212শেষ তারিখ
Aug 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 6, 2026, centers on 28°C as the modal outcome (44% implied probability), followed closely by 27°C and 29°C.** This distribution aligns with climatological normals for early August in Istanbul's Mediterranean climate, where average daily highs typically range from 27–29°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure, abundant sunshine (around 10–11 hours), and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Ensemble forecasts and seasonal analogs emphasize modest day-to-day variability driven by weak synoptic patterns rather than strong advection or instability. No significant heatwave signals or anomalous blocking patterns appear in current model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical mean of ~28°C while allowing for small shifts from local factors like cloud cover or wind direction. Recent monthly outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and long-term datasets reinforce this range, with limited upside risk above 30°C absent rapid warming. As the date approaches, traders will monitor updated runs from major numerical weather prediction models and official observations for any revisions in maximum temperature expectations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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