Recent forecasts for Lucknow during the peak southwest monsoon period show daytime highs clustered around 32–34°C for August 9, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rainfall associated with the monsoon trough limit solar heating and suppress extreme daytime temperatures relative to pre-monsoon conditions. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicates near-normal maximum temperatures for the plains of northwest India, with no strong heatwave signals or major trough shifts expected in the next 48 hours that would push values notably higher or lower. Historical climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, providing a baseline that traders appear to be weighting heavily. Upcoming short-range model runs and any revised India Meteorological Department guidance on rainfall distribution will be the next key inputs likely to refine these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 9?
33°C 44%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
22%
33°C
44%
34°C
22%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 44%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
22%
33°C
44%
34°C
22%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow during the peak southwest monsoon period show daytime highs clustered around 32–34°C for August 9, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rainfall associated with the monsoon trough limit solar heating and suppress extreme daytime temperatures relative to pre-monsoon conditions. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and regional outlooks indicates near-normal maximum temperatures for the plains of northwest India, with no strong heatwave signals or major trough shifts expected in the next 48 hours that would push values notably higher or lower. Historical climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, providing a baseline that traders appear to be weighting heavily. Upcoming short-range model runs and any revised India Meteorological Department guidance on rainfall distribution will be the next key inputs likely to refine these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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