Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and multi-model consensus point to normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, anchoring trader focus on 27–29 °C minimums for the ninth amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Overnight lows depend primarily on cloud cover and shower activity tied to the southwest monsoon, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep readings near 28 °C, or allow clearer skies for brief dips toward 27 °C. Distant tropical systems or wind shifts could modulate humidity and ventilation, while urban heat-island effects and model spread introduce the observed dispersion across 26–30 °C bins. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
28°C 35%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
30°C 16%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
24%
30°C
16%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
30°C 16%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
20%
28°C
35%
29°C
24%
30°C
16%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and multi-model consensus point to normal-to-above-normal August temperatures, anchoring trader focus on 27–29 °C minimums for the ninth amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Overnight lows depend primarily on cloud cover and shower activity tied to the southwest monsoon, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep readings near 28 °C, or allow clearer skies for brief dips toward 27 °C. Distant tropical systems or wind shifts could modulate humidity and ventilation, while urban heat-island effects and model spread introduce the observed dispersion across 26–30 °C bins. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will likely tighten probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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