Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights persistent extremely hot conditions through mid-August 2026, driven by subsidence under a subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover, supporting daily maxima near or above 35°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts points to urban maxima around 35–36°C on August 9, tempered by possible isolated showers or increased humidity that could cap peaks or enhance the heat index. Seasonal outlooks reinforce normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, while short-range uncertainty in steering flows and convective timing keeps trader probabilities tightly distributed between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
35°C 38%
36°C 28%
37°C 17%
34°C 13%
$14,657 Vol.
$14,657 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
38%
36°C
28%
37°C
17%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 28%
37°C 17%
34°C 13%
$14,657 Vol.
$14,657 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
38%
36°C
28%
37°C
17%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights persistent extremely hot conditions through mid-August 2026, driven by subsidence under a subtropical ridge and limited cloud cover, supporting daily maxima near or above 35°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts points to urban maxima around 35–36°C on August 9, tempered by possible isolated showers or increased humidity that could cap peaks or enhance the heat index. Seasonal outlooks reinforce normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid long-term warming trends, while short-range uncertainty in steering flows and convective timing keeps trader probabilities tightly distributed between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Updated HKO briefings and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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