**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C low in Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, at 90.3% implied probability, driven by consistent forecast model outputs and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures holding near that level amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain.** Subtropical conditions in late August, with dew points around 25–26°C and light winds, limit nighttime radiational cooling, keeping minima elevated compared to drier periods. Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models converge on lows of 27–28°C, aligning with recent days' patterns where similar weather produced minimums in this narrow range. Realistic challenges include a brief clear spell enhancing cooling to 26°C or below, though current radar and satellite data show limited potential for that shift before midnight local time. Market odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
28°C 90.3%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
$23,037 Vol.
$23,037 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
9%
28°C
90%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 90.3%
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
26°C 2%
$23,037 Vol.
$23,037 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
9%
28°C
90%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 28°C low in Shenzhen on August 23, 2026, at 90.3% implied probability, driven by consistent forecast model outputs and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures holding near that level amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain.** Subtropical conditions in late August, with dew points around 25–26°C and light winds, limit nighttime radiational cooling, keeping minima elevated compared to drier periods. Official and ensemble guidance from sources like the Met Office and regional models converge on lows of 27–28°C, aligning with recent days' patterns where similar weather produced minimums in this narrow range. Realistic challenges include a brief clear spell enhancing cooling to 26°C or below, though current radar and satellite data show limited potential for that shift before midnight local time. Market odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা