**Latest forecast consensus from European models and Météo-France points to an overnight low near 18–19 °C in Paris on August 10, 2026, with limited radiative cooling expected under partly clear to clear skies following a period of above-average daytime heat.** This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 19 °C (42 %) and 18 °C (33 %), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimum temperatures in that narrow band. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, residual moisture from recent Atlantic flow, and Paris’s urban heat-island effect, which typically adds 1–2 °C to rural baselines and reduces the chance of dropping to 17 °C or below (combined 18.5 %). Small model disagreements on cloud timing and wind speeds overnight create the modest spread between the top two outcomes; updated runs closer to the 06–09 UTC minimum window could shift implied probabilities if dew-point or advection forecasts change. Historical early-August climatology (average lows 15–17 °C) is tempered by the current warm anomaly, keeping extremes below 17 °C or above 20 °C at low market odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
19°C 42%
18°C 34%
17°C 18%
20°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
18%
18°C
34%
19°C
42%
20°C
9%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 42%
18°C 34%
17°C 18%
20°C 9%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
$122 Vol.
2%
17°C
$207 Vol.
18%
18°C
$261 Vol.
34%
19°C
$617 Vol.
42%
20°C
$97 Vol.
9%
21°C
$195 Vol.
4%
22°C
$100 Vol.
1%
23°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$90 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast consensus from European models and Météo-France points to an overnight low near 18–19 °C in Paris on August 10, 2026, with limited radiative cooling expected under partly clear to clear skies following a period of above-average daytime heat.**
This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 19 °C (42 %) and 18 °C (33 %), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimum temperatures in that narrow band. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, residual moisture from recent Atlantic flow, and Paris’s urban heat-island effect, which typically adds 1–2 °C to rural baselines and reduces the chance of dropping to 17 °C or below (combined 18.5 %).
Small model disagreements on cloud timing and wind speeds overnight create the modest spread between the top two outcomes; updated runs closer to the 06–09 UTC minimum window could shift implied probabilities if dew-point or advection forecasts change. Historical early-August climatology (average lows 15–17 °C) is tempered by the current warm anomaly, keeping extremes below 17 °C or above 20 °C at low market odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,283শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast consensus from European models and Météo-France points to an overnight low near 18–19 °C in Paris on August 10, 2026, with limited radiative cooling expected under partly clear to clear skies following a period of above-average daytime heat.**
This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 19 °C (42 %) and 18 °C (33 %), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimum temperatures in that narrow band. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, residual moisture from recent Atlantic flow, and Paris’s urban heat-island effect, which typically adds 1–2 °C to rural baselines and reduces the chance of dropping to 17 °C or below (combined 18.5 %).
Small model disagreements on cloud timing and wind speeds overnight create the modest spread between the top two outcomes; updated runs closer to the 06–09 UTC minimum window could shift implied probabilities if dew-point or advection forecasts change. Historical early-August climatology (average lows 15–17 °C) is tempered by the current warm anomaly, keeping extremes below 17 °C or above 20 °C at low market odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,283শেষ তারিখ
Aug 10, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast consensus from European models and Météo-France points to an overnight low near 18–19 °C in Paris on August 10, 2026, with limited radiative cooling expected under partly clear to clear skies following a period of above-average daytime heat.** This aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 19 °C (42 %) and 18 °C (33 %), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing minimum temperatures in that narrow band. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal boundary-layer mixing, residual moisture from recent Atlantic flow, and Paris’s urban heat-island effect, which typically adds 1–2 °C to rural baselines and reduces the chance of dropping to 17 °C or below (combined 18.5 %). Small model disagreements on cloud timing and wind speeds overnight create the modest spread between the top two outcomes; updated runs closer to the 06–09 UTC minimum window could shift implied probabilities if dew-point or advection forecasts change. Historical early-August climatology (average lows 15–17 °C) is tempered by the current warm anomaly, keeping extremes below 17 °C or above 20 °C at low market odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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