Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows in the mid-70s°F range for August 5, aligning with the market's concentration on 70-73°F outcomes (combined ~76.5% implied probability). This positioning reflects a warm, humid summer air mass typical of early August, where limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and the urban heat island effect—retaining daytime warmth from concrete and buildings—prevent deeper drops below climatological norms of ~68-70°F. Model consensus from NOAA and similar agencies shows minimal frontal passage or clear-sky radiational cooling to push mins lower, with any wind or cloud cover further moderating temperatures. Trader sentiment favors these bins due to stable, above-average seasonal conditions persisting into the resolution window, though minor forecast revisions from new model runs could shift probabilities if cooler advection develops overnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 5?
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 24%
68-69°F 15%
66-67°F 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 5, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
50%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 50%
72-73°F 24%
68-69°F 15%
66-67°F 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 5, 2026
57°F or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$100 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$87 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$81 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$311 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$120 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$130 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$640 Vol.
50%
72-73°F
$156 Vol.
24%
74-75°F
$1,266 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$151 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows in the mid-70s°F range for August 5, aligning with the market's concentration on 70-73°F outcomes (combined ~76.5% implied probability). This positioning reflects a warm, humid summer air mass typical of early August, where limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and the urban heat island effect—retaining daytime warmth from concrete and buildings—prevent deeper drops below climatological norms of ~68-70°F. Model consensus from NOAA and similar agencies shows minimal frontal passage or clear-sky radiational cooling to push mins lower, with any wind or cloud cover further moderating temperatures. Trader sentiment favors these bins due to stable, above-average seasonal conditions persisting into the resolution window, though minor forecast revisions from new model runs could shift probabilities if cooler advection develops overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,837শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows in the mid-70s°F range for August 5, aligning with the market's concentration on 70-73°F outcomes (combined ~76.5% implied probability). This positioning reflects a warm, humid summer air mass typical of early August, where limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and the urban heat island effect—retaining daytime warmth from concrete and buildings—prevent deeper drops below climatological norms of ~68-70°F. Model consensus from NOAA and similar agencies shows minimal frontal passage or clear-sky radiational cooling to push mins lower, with any wind or cloud cover further moderating temperatures. Trader sentiment favors these bins due to stable, above-average seasonal conditions persisting into the resolution window, though minor forecast revisions from new model runs could shift probabilities if cooler advection develops overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,837শেষ তারিখ
Aug 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows in the mid-70s°F range for August 5, aligning with the market's concentration on 70-73°F outcomes (combined ~76.5% implied probability). This positioning reflects a warm, humid summer air mass typical of early August, where limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and the urban heat island effect—retaining daytime warmth from concrete and buildings—prevent deeper drops below climatological norms of ~68-70°F. Model consensus from NOAA and similar agencies shows minimal frontal passage or clear-sky radiational cooling to push mins lower, with any wind or cloud cover further moderating temperatures. Trader sentiment favors these bins due to stable, above-average seasonal conditions persisting into the resolution window, though minor forecast revisions from new model runs could shift probabilities if cooler advection develops overnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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