Recent stormy conditions and a lingering humid airmass over the Northeast have positioned the 84-85°F range as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service guidance indicates partly cloudy skies today with light winds and highs potentially reaching the mid-80s as moisture decreases slightly after Monday's widespread rain. NOAA model consensus supports this peak, tempered by residual cloud cover that caps radiative heating. Historical August Central Park averages near 83°F provide baseline context, though the current setup favors slightly above-normal readings without strong high-pressure dominance. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day convection will refine resolution near the 4 PM local maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 4?
84-85°F 48%
82-83°F 22%
86-87°F 21%
80-81°F 9%
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 48%
82-83°F 22%
86-87°F 21%
80-81°F 9%
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stormy conditions and a lingering humid airmass over the Northeast have positioned the 84-85°F range as the market leader at 47.5% implied probability. Official National Weather Service guidance indicates partly cloudy skies today with light winds and highs potentially reaching the mid-80s as moisture decreases slightly after Monday's widespread rain. NOAA model consensus supports this peak, tempered by residual cloud cover that caps radiative heating. Historical August Central Park averages near 83°F provide baseline context, though the current setup favors slightly above-normal readings without strong high-pressure dominance. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day convection will refine resolution near the 4 PM local maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা