Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 97°F on August 5 under sunny skies with light south winds and only a slight afternoon storm chance, supporting the market-leading 96-97°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer Gulf moisture favor this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 93-95°F and recent model consensus showing limited cooling from sea breezes or convection. Lower-probability bins (94-95°F at 27.5%, 98-99°F at 21.5%) reflect minor uncertainties in exact steering flow and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply above 100°F due to the absence of stronger ridging or drier air in current guidance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Houston on August 5?
96-97°F 48%
94-95°F 29%
98-99°F 21%
92-93°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
48%
98-99°F
21%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
96-97°F 48%
94-95°F 29%
98-99°F 21%
92-93°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
29%
96-97°F
48%
98-99°F
21%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 97°F on August 5 under sunny skies with light south winds and only a slight afternoon storm chance, supporting the market-leading 96-97°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer Gulf moisture favor this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 93-95°F and recent model consensus showing limited cooling from sea breezes or convection. Lower-probability bins (94-95°F at 27.5%, 98-99°F at 21.5%) reflect minor uncertainties in exact steering flow and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply above 100°F due to the absence of stronger ridging or drier air in current guidance. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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