Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance indicates overnight lows in New York City on August 16 most likely settling in the low 70s, driven by persistent warmer-than-average conditions and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with mid-August climatology near Central Park, where normal minimums hover around 70°F, and supports the market's heavy weighting on the 72-73°F bin. Recent ensemble runs show minimal spread, though any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow could nudge readings slightly lower without shifting the overall outlook. Traders are monitoring the next model updates for confirmation ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 16?
72-73°F 54%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 12%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
54%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 54%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 12%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
54%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance indicates overnight lows in New York City on August 16 most likely settling in the low 70s, driven by persistent warmer-than-average conditions and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with mid-August climatology near Central Park, where normal minimums hover around 70°F, and supports the market's heavy weighting on the 72-73°F bin. Recent ensemble runs show minimal spread, though any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow could nudge readings slightly lower without shifting the overall outlook. Traders are monitoring the next model updates for confirmation ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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