Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over Paris ahead of an Atlantic frontal boundary, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk on August 15 limiting peak solar heating. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 32–33°C at official stations, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from convection offset residual warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, though slight variations in storm timing or boundary position could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in Paris average 24–26°C, underscoring how this late-summer transition keeps outcomes clustered around the current market leaders. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on August 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 15?
33°C 52%
32°C 37%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
39%
33°C
41%
34°C
20%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
33°C 52%
32°C 37%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$11 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
8%
32°C
$79 Vol.
39%
33°C
$10 Vol.
41%
34°C
$0 Vol.
20%
35°C
$0 Vol.
11%
36°C
$15 Vol.
3%
37°C
$22 Vol.
3%
38°C
$22 Vol.
3%
39°C
$10 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over Paris ahead of an Atlantic frontal boundary, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk on August 15 limiting peak solar heating. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 32–33°C at official stations, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from convection offset residual warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, though slight variations in storm timing or boundary position could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in Paris average 24–26°C, underscoring how this late-summer transition keeps outcomes clustered around the current market leaders. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ভলিউম
$179শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over Paris ahead of an Atlantic frontal boundary, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk on August 15 limiting peak solar heating. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 32–33°C at official stations, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from convection offset residual warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, though slight variations in storm timing or boundary position could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in Paris average 24–26°C, underscoring how this late-summer transition keeps outcomes clustered around the current market leaders. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$179শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over Paris ahead of an Atlantic frontal boundary, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk on August 15 limiting peak solar heating. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 32–33°C at official stations, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from convection offset residual warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, though slight variations in storm timing or boundary position could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in Paris average 24–26°C, underscoring how this late-summer transition keeps outcomes clustered around the current market leaders. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা