National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a San Francisco high near 71°F on August 12, with the 70–71°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 42.5% as traders incorporate the moderating effects of a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the cool Pacific. This coastal pattern, typical for mid-August when average highs hover around 69–70°F, caps afternoon warming and favors a narrow cluster of outcomes between 68–73°F. Recent model runs show the marine layer remaining 1,500–2,000 feet deep, suppressing temperatures below seasonal peaks while ruling out extremes above 75°F or below 66°F given current steering patterns and lack of offshore flow.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 12?
70-71°F 43%
68-69°F 26%
72-73°F 21%
66-67°F 7%
$17,037 Vol.
$17,037 Vol.
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 43%
68-69°F 26%
72-73°F 21%
66-67°F 7%
$17,037 Vol.
$17,037 Vol.
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a San Francisco high near 71°F on August 12, with the 70–71°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 42.5% as traders incorporate the moderating effects of a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the cool Pacific. This coastal pattern, typical for mid-August when average highs hover around 69–70°F, caps afternoon warming and favors a narrow cluster of outcomes between 68–73°F. Recent model runs show the marine layer remaining 1,500–2,000 feet deep, suppressing temperatures below seasonal peaks while ruling out extremes above 75°F or below 66°F given current steering patterns and lack of offshore flow.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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