Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian meteorological centers converge on a Moscow maximum of 19–20°C for August 15 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits afternoon heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers, similar to those observed on August 13–14, continue to suppress temperatures 2–3°C below the long-term August climatological average of 22°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 18–21°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 19–20°C outcomes while underscoring residual uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 15?
20°C 45%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 15, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
26%
20°C
45%
21°C
19%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 45%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 15, 2026
15°C or below
$89 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$19 Vol.
5%
17°C
$402 Vol.
2%
18°C
$206 Vol.
7%
19°C
$321 Vol.
26%
20°C
$299 Vol.
45%
21°C
$251 Vol.
19%
22°C
$245 Vol.
5%
23°C
$5 Vol.
5%
24°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian meteorological centers converge on a Moscow maximum of 19–20°C for August 15 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits afternoon heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers, similar to those observed on August 13–14, continue to suppress temperatures 2–3°C below the long-term August climatological average of 22°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 18–21°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 19–20°C outcomes while underscoring residual uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,953শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian meteorological centers converge on a Moscow maximum of 19–20°C for August 15 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits afternoon heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers, similar to those observed on August 13–14, continue to suppress temperatures 2–3°C below the long-term August climatological average of 22°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 18–21°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 19–20°C outcomes while underscoring residual uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,953শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian meteorological centers converge on a Moscow maximum of 19–20°C for August 15 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits afternoon heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers, similar to those observed on August 13–14, continue to suppress temperatures 2–3°C below the long-term August climatological average of 22°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 18–21°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 19–20°C outcomes while underscoring residual uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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