A deep marine layer sustained by the cool California Current and a pronounced temperature inversion is suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco on August 14, 2026, keeping National Weather Service forecasts clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s°F. Persistent onshore flow and low stratus clouds reduce solar insolation, with resolution hinging on marine-layer depth, wind patterns, and any late-afternoon clearing that could allow brief warming. Trader positioning, reflected in the 49% implied probability for 68–69°F and 26% for 70–71°F, captures uncertainty across model runs regarding inversion strength and stratus dissipation, while cooler 66–67°F outcomes retain support if drizzle persists. Historical August normals near 70°F provide context for this below-average pattern.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 14?
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 4%
$16,855 Vol.
$16,855 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 4%
$16,855 Vol.
$16,855 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A deep marine layer sustained by the cool California Current and a pronounced temperature inversion is suppressing daytime heating in San Francisco on August 14, 2026, keeping National Weather Service forecasts clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s°F. Persistent onshore flow and low stratus clouds reduce solar insolation, with resolution hinging on marine-layer depth, wind patterns, and any late-afternoon clearing that could allow brief warming. Trader positioning, reflected in the 49% implied probability for 68–69°F and 26% for 70–71°F, captures uncertainty across model runs regarding inversion strength and stratus dissipation, while cooler 66–67°F outcomes retain support if drizzle persists. Historical August normals near 70°F provide context for this below-average pattern.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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