Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating air mass over the Northeast on August 15, with daytime highs in New York City likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s under partly sunny skies and a possible sea breeze. This setup follows several days of upper-80s readings and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 82–85°F range, reflecting trader assessment of limited heating amid onshore flow and any residual moisture from distant tropical activity. Seasonal climatology places the Central Park normal near 83°F, and current ensemble spreads show little support for exceeding 85°F or dropping below 80°F given the expected steering pattern. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 15?
82-83°F 49%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 10%
86-87°F 6%
নতুন
$12,046 Vol.
নতুন
$12,046 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 49%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 10%
86-87°F 6%
নতুন
$12,046 Vol.
নতুন
$12,046 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
$575 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,088 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,032 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,422 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$1,972 Vol.
49%
84-85°F
$2,081 Vol.
38%
86-87°F
$963 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$1,426 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$301 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$548 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating air mass over the Northeast on August 15, with daytime highs in New York City likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s under partly sunny skies and a possible sea breeze. This setup follows several days of upper-80s readings and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 82–85°F range, reflecting trader assessment of limited heating amid onshore flow and any residual moisture from distant tropical activity. Seasonal climatology places the Central Park normal near 83°F, and current ensemble spreads show little support for exceeding 85°F or dropping below 80°F given the expected steering pattern. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,046শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating air mass over the Northeast on August 15, with daytime highs in New York City likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s under partly sunny skies and a possible sea breeze. This setup follows several days of upper-80s readings and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 82–85°F range, reflecting trader assessment of limited heating amid onshore flow and any residual moisture from distant tropical activity. Seasonal climatology places the Central Park normal near 83°F, and current ensemble spreads show little support for exceeding 85°F or dropping below 80°F given the expected steering pattern. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$12,046শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderating air mass over the Northeast on August 15, with daytime highs in New York City likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s under partly sunny skies and a possible sea breeze. This setup follows several days of upper-80s readings and aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 82–85°F range, reflecting trader assessment of limited heating amid onshore flow and any residual moisture from distant tropical activity. Seasonal climatology places the Central Park normal near 83°F, and current ensemble spreads show little support for exceeding 85°F or dropping below 80°F given the expected steering pattern. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon observations will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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