Recent official forecasts for Jinan indicate a minimum temperature near 20–22°C on September 6 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling after daytime highs of 30–32°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because model runs show modest spread in overnight low outcomes driven by small differences in cloud cover, dew point, and boundary-layer mixing. Clear conditions favor stronger cooling toward the lower end of the distribution, while any increase in moisture or wind could hold the minimum above 22°C. With resolution imminent, updates from the China Meteorological Administration on steering patterns and local observations will likely resolve the near-even odds between sub-13°C and 22°C-plus scenarios.