Market-implied odds heavily favor a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 5, driven by consistent official forecasts and model consensus showing a maximum around 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and humidity near 60-70%. Current observations midday reached 29-30°C, aligning with seasonal norms for early September when subtropical high pressure and onshore flow typically cap extremes without strong solar heating or southerly advection. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble outputs, which show low variance for exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision or localized urban heat island spike pushing the official maximum to 31°C, though current data and short-term trends make that improbable before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$58,709 Vol.
$58,709 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$58,709 Vol.
$58,709 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
$797 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$665 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,597 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,785 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,944 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15,407 Vol.
99%
31°C
$14,067 Vol.
1%
32°C
$7,558 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 5, driven by consistent official forecasts and model consensus showing a maximum around 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and humidity near 60-70%. Current observations midday reached 29-30°C, aligning with seasonal norms for early September when subtropical high pressure and onshore flow typically cap extremes without strong solar heating or southerly advection. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble outputs, which show low variance for exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision or localized urban heat island spike pushing the official maximum to 31°C, though current data and short-term trends make that improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$58,709শেষ তারিখ
Sep 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 5, driven by consistent official forecasts and model consensus showing a maximum around 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and humidity near 60-70%. Current observations midday reached 29-30°C, aligning with seasonal norms for early September when subtropical high pressure and onshore flow typically cap extremes without strong solar heating or southerly advection. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble outputs, which show low variance for exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision or localized urban heat island spike pushing the official maximum to 31°C, though current data and short-term trends make that improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$58,709শেষ তারিখ
Sep 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds heavily favor a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 5, driven by consistent official forecasts and model consensus showing a maximum around 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and humidity near 60-70%. Current observations midday reached 29-30°C, aligning with seasonal norms for early September when subtropical high pressure and onshore flow typically cap extremes without strong solar heating or southerly advection. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble outputs, which show low variance for exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision or localized urban heat island spike pushing the official maximum to 31°C, though current data and short-term trends make that improbable before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা