**Trader consensus strongly favors 29°C as the day's highest temperature in Manila, with a 96% implied probability, driven by official PAGASA forecasts and global model consensus projecting a high of 29°C under persistent heavy thunderstorms and overcast skies.** The southwest monsoon pattern typical of early September brings 100% rain probability, high humidity above 85%, and thick cloud cover that suppresses solar heating and caps afternoon peaks near or below this threshold. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, but active convective activity and westerly winds today align with cooler observed conditions. Realistic shifts could occur only if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation, potentially pushing readings to 30°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such breaks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on September 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 5?
29°C 96%
30°C 4%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$27,906 Vol.
$27,906 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
96%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 96%
30°C 4%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$27,906 Vol.
$27,906 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
23°C or below
$155 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,011 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,854 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,904 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,003 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,402 Vol.
96%
30°C
$3,414 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,439 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$799 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 29°C as the day's highest temperature in Manila, with a 96% implied probability, driven by official PAGASA forecasts and global model consensus projecting a high of 29°C under persistent heavy thunderstorms and overcast skies.**
The southwest monsoon pattern typical of early September brings 100% rain probability, high humidity above 85%, and thick cloud cover that suppresses solar heating and caps afternoon peaks near or below this threshold. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, but active convective activity and westerly winds today align with cooler observed conditions. Realistic shifts could occur only if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation, potentially pushing readings to 30°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such breaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ভলিউম
$27,906শেষ তারিখ
Sep 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 29°C as the day's highest temperature in Manila, with a 96% implied probability, driven by official PAGASA forecasts and global model consensus projecting a high of 29°C under persistent heavy thunderstorms and overcast skies.**
The southwest monsoon pattern typical of early September brings 100% rain probability, high humidity above 85%, and thick cloud cover that suppresses solar heating and caps afternoon peaks near or below this threshold. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, but active convective activity and westerly winds today align with cooler observed conditions. Realistic shifts could occur only if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation, potentially pushing readings to 30°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such breaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$27,906শেষ তারিখ
Sep 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 29°C as the day's highest temperature in Manila, with a 96% implied probability, driven by official PAGASA forecasts and global model consensus projecting a high of 29°C under persistent heavy thunderstorms and overcast skies.** The southwest monsoon pattern typical of early September brings 100% rain probability, high humidity above 85%, and thick cloud cover that suppresses solar heating and caps afternoon peaks near or below this threshold. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, but active convective activity and westerly winds today align with cooler observed conditions. Realistic shifts could occur only if unexpected clearing allows greater insolation, potentially pushing readings to 30°C, though current model runs show low likelihood of such breaks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা