Forecast consensus from NOAA and regional models points to a Monday night low in Austin in the mid-70s, with most guidance showing 76–77°F under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and elevated dew points that limit overnight radiational cooling. This keeps probabilities tightly clustered between the 72–77°F bins as traders weigh minor differences in model timing and boundary-layer mixing. Persistent warm advection from the Gulf and above-normal humidity have held recent overnight minima several degrees above the 71°F climatological normal, with no frontal passage or increased cloud cover expected before resolution. Updated model runs and local observations through Monday evening will provide the final calibration for the exact minimum.