Ongoing geopolitical risks from the 2026 US-Iran conflict, including Iranian attacks on non-compliant vessels and US naval enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to suppress commercial traffic well below pre-war averages of roughly 60 daily transits. Recent Kpler data through mid-August show weekly volumes clustered in the low dozens amid route disputes, fees demanded by Iran, and persistent threats, supporting trader consensus around the 25-49 band as the baseline for the week of August 24. Heightened uncertainty from stalled Iran-Oman route talks and isolated strikes in early August reinforces the elevated probability on sub-50 outcomes, while any near-term de-escalation could lift volumes modestly without restoring full pre-conflict flows.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 24?
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 24?
25-49 55%
<25 32%
50-74 8%
75-99 2.4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 30, 2026
<25
32%
25-49
55%
50-74
8%
75-99
2%
100+
2%
25-49 55%
<25 32%
50-74 8%
75-99 2.4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 30, 2026
<25
$330 Vol.
32%
25-49
$355 Vol.
55%
50-74
$71 Vol.
8%
75-99
$109 Vol.
2%
100+
$62 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 24, 2026, through August 30, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing geopolitical risks from the 2026 US-Iran conflict, including Iranian attacks on non-compliant vessels and US naval enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to suppress commercial traffic well below pre-war averages of roughly 60 daily transits. Recent Kpler data through mid-August show weekly volumes clustered in the low dozens amid route disputes, fees demanded by Iran, and persistent threats, supporting trader consensus around the 25-49 band as the baseline for the week of August 24. Heightened uncertainty from stalled Iran-Oman route talks and isolated strikes in early August reinforces the elevated probability on sub-50 outcomes, while any near-term de-escalation could lift volumes modestly without restoring full pre-conflict flows.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 24, 2026, through August 30, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$926শেষ তারিখ
Aug 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 24, 2026, through August 30, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing geopolitical risks from the 2026 US-Iran conflict, including Iranian attacks on non-compliant vessels and US naval enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to suppress commercial traffic well below pre-war averages of roughly 60 daily transits. Recent Kpler data through mid-August show weekly volumes clustered in the low dozens amid route disputes, fees demanded by Iran, and persistent threats, supporting trader consensus around the 25-49 band as the baseline for the week of August 24. Heightened uncertainty from stalled Iran-Oman route talks and isolated strikes in early August reinforces the elevated probability on sub-50 outcomes, while any near-term de-escalation could lift volumes modestly without restoring full pre-conflict flows.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 24, 2026, through August 30, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
ভলিউম
$926শেষ তারিখ
Aug 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing geopolitical risks from the 2026 US-Iran conflict, including Iranian attacks on non-compliant vessels and US naval enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz, continue to suppress commercial traffic well below pre-war averages of roughly 60 daily transits. Recent Kpler data through mid-August show weekly volumes clustered in the low dozens amid route disputes, fees demanded by Iran, and persistent threats, supporting trader consensus around the 25-49 band as the baseline for the week of August 24. Heightened uncertainty from stalled Iran-Oman route talks and isolated strikes in early August reinforces the elevated probability on sub-50 outcomes, while any near-term de-escalation could lift volumes modestly without restoring full pre-conflict flows.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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