This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.Recent escalations in the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader sentiment on the durability of any Israel-Iran ceasefire framework. Iranian forces struck multiple commercial vessels in early July, prompting U.S. Central Command strikes on Iranian military targets and President Trump’s July 8 declaration that the June Islamabad Memorandum truce had ended. Both sides have since exchanged further strikes, with U.S. operations expanding deeper into Iran and Iranian missile responses targeting regional U.S. positions. Israel has maintained high alert status and signaled readiness for independent action while conducting separate operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, though it has not directly re-engaged Iranian territory in the latest exchanges. Negotiations on nuclear issues and a permanent settlement remain stalled amid mutual accusations of violations, with no scheduled diplomatic milestones in the immediate term that would restore the prior 60-day negotiation window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.
Recent escalations in the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader sentiment on the durability of any Israel-Iran ceasefire framework. Iranian forces struck multiple commercial vessels in early July, prompting U.S. Central Command strikes on Iranian military targets and President Trump’s July 8 declaration that the June Islamabad Memorandum truce had ended. Both sides have since exchanged further strikes, with U.S. operations expanding deeper into Iran and Iranian missile responses targeting regional U.S. positions. Israel has maintained high alert status and signaled readiness for independent action while conducting separate operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, though it has not directly re-engaged Iranian territory in the latest exchanges. Negotiations on nuclear issues and a permanent settlement remain stalled amid mutual accusations of violations, with no scheduled diplomatic milestones in the immediate term that would restore the prior 60-day negotiation window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
Jul 20 2026
Regional mediators present 10-day ceasefire proposal to Iran and US
July 20 jumps to 99%9%
On July 20, 2026, mediators including Qatar, Egypt, and Pakistan presented a 10-day truce proposal aimed at reviving the interim ceasefire deal between Iran and the US, which also affected the broader conflict involving Israel. This diplomatic development reinforced market expectations that the ceasefire would continue through near-term dates.
Jul 20 2026
Mediators present Iran with 10-day truce proposal to revive interim ceasefire
July 20 rises to 96%3%
On July 20, 2026, regional mediators including Qatar, Egypt, and Pakistan presented Iran with a proposal for a 10-day truce aimed at reviving the interim ceasefire deal with the US, which included provisions affecting the broader conflict involving Israel. This diplomatic development reinforced market expectations that the ceasefire between Israel and Iran would continue through the near-term dates.
Jul 20 2026
Mediators propose 10-day truce to revive US-Iran ceasefire deal
July 25 jumps to 84%14%
On July 20, 2026, mediators presented Iran with a proposal for a 10-day truce aimed at reviving the interim ceasefire deal with the US, which included provisions affecting the broader conflict involving Israel. This diplomatic development reinforced market expectations that the ceasefire between Israel and Iran would continue through the near term dates.
Jul 19 2026
US and Iran exchange strikes; Israel and Iran maintain ceasefire
July 20 jumps to 99%11%
On July 19, 2026, the US launched a ninth consecutive night of strikes on Iran, while Iran retaliated by firing missiles at US bases and Gulf nations. However, no direct military actions qualifying as ceasefire violations occurred between Israel and Iran, sustaining market confidence in the ceasefire continuing through July 20 and beyond.
Jul 19 2026
US launches ninth consecutive night of strikes on Iran; Iran retaliates against US bases
July 20 jumps to 99%7%
On July 19, 2026, the US conducted a ninth consecutive night of strikes on Iran, while Iran retaliated by firing missiles at US bases and Gulf nations. However, no direct qualifying military actions occurred between Israel and Iran, sustaining market confidence in the ceasefire continuation through July 20.
Jul 18 2026
Israel refrains from strikes on Iran amid ongoing US-Iran conflict
July 18 jumps to 100%7%
Despite ongoing US strikes on Iran and Iranian threats, Israel did not engage in military actions against Iran on July 18, 2026, reinforcing market confidence that the Israel-Iran ceasefire would hold through this date.
Jul 18 2026
Israel abstains from strikes on Iran as ceasefire frays between US and Tehran
July 20 surges to 99%48%
Despite the breakdown of a fragile ceasefire between Washington and Tehran, Israel did not participate in recent strikes on Iran, and Iran refrained from attacking Israel. This absence of qualifying military actions between Israel and Iran supported the market's rising confidence in the ceasefire holding through July 20.
Jul 17 2026
US sends dozens of refueling aircraft to Israel amid rising tensions with Iran
July 18 surges to 96%46%
On July 17, 2026, the US deployed additional refueling aircraft to Israel, signaling preparedness for potential escalation but no direct Israeli military action against Iran occurred. This bolstered market confidence that the ceasefire between Israel and Iran remained intact as Israel refrained from strikes during this period.
Jul 17 2026
US deploys additional refueling aircraft to Israel amid regional tensions
July 18 surges to 96%46%
On July 17, 2026, the US sent dozens of refueling aircraft to Israel signaling preparedness for potential escalation, but no direct Israeli military action against Iran occurred, supporting market confidence in the ceasefire continuation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.Recent escalations in the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader sentiment on the durability of any Israel-Iran ceasefire framework. Iranian forces struck multiple commercial vessels in early July, prompting U.S. Central Command strikes on Iranian military targets and President Trump’s July 8 declaration that the June Islamabad Memorandum truce had ended. Both sides have since exchanged further strikes, with U.S. operations expanding deeper into Iran and Iranian missile responses targeting regional U.S. positions. Israel has maintained high alert status and signaled readiness for independent action while conducting separate operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, though it has not directly re-engaged Iranian territory in the latest exchanges. Negotiations on nuclear issues and a permanent settlement remain stalled amid mutual accusations of violations, with no scheduled diplomatic milestones in the immediate term that would restore the prior 60-day negotiation window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:
Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;
Surface-to-air missile strikes;
Small-arms fire;
Ground incursions;
Cyber operations;
Naval gunfire and artillery fire;
Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);
Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;
Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.
A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify.
The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.
Recent escalations in the Strait of Hormuz have driven trader sentiment on the durability of any Israel-Iran ceasefire framework. Iranian forces struck multiple commercial vessels in early July, prompting U.S. Central Command strikes on Iranian military targets and President Trump’s July 8 declaration that the June Islamabad Memorandum truce had ended. Both sides have since exchanged further strikes, with U.S. operations expanding deeper into Iran and Iranian missile responses targeting regional U.S. positions. Israel has maintained high alert status and signaled readiness for independent action while conducting separate operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, though it has not directly re-engaged Iranian territory in the latest exchanges. Negotiations on nuclear issues and a permanent settlement remain stalled amid mutual accusations of violations, with no scheduled diplomatic milestones in the immediate term that would restore the prior 60-day negotiation window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
Jul 20 2026
Regional mediators present 10-day ceasefire proposal to Iran and US
July 20 jumps to 99%9%
On July 20, 2026, mediators including Qatar, Egypt, and Pakistan presented a 10-day truce proposal aimed at reviving the interim ceasefire deal between Iran and the US, which also affected the broader conflict involving Israel. This diplomatic development reinforced market expectations that the ceasefire would continue through near-term dates.
Jul 20 2026
Mediators present Iran with 10-day truce proposal to revive interim ceasefire
July 20 rises to 96%3%
On July 20, 2026, regional mediators including Qatar, Egypt, and Pakistan presented Iran with a proposal for a 10-day truce aimed at reviving the interim ceasefire deal with the US, which included provisions affecting the broader conflict involving Israel. This diplomatic development reinforced market expectations that the ceasefire between Israel and Iran would continue through the near-term dates.
Jul 20 2026
Mediators propose 10-day truce to revive US-Iran ceasefire deal
July 25 jumps to 84%14%
On July 20, 2026, mediators presented Iran with a proposal for a 10-day truce aimed at reviving the interim ceasefire deal with the US, which included provisions affecting the broader conflict involving Israel. This diplomatic development reinforced market expectations that the ceasefire between Israel and Iran would continue through the near term dates.
Jul 19 2026
US and Iran exchange strikes; Israel and Iran maintain ceasefire
July 20 jumps to 99%11%
On July 19, 2026, the US launched a ninth consecutive night of strikes on Iran, while Iran retaliated by firing missiles at US bases and Gulf nations. However, no direct military actions qualifying as ceasefire violations occurred between Israel and Iran, sustaining market confidence in the ceasefire continuing through July 20 and beyond.
Jul 19 2026
US launches ninth consecutive night of strikes on Iran; Iran retaliates against US bases
July 20 jumps to 99%7%
On July 19, 2026, the US conducted a ninth consecutive night of strikes on Iran, while Iran retaliated by firing missiles at US bases and Gulf nations. However, no direct qualifying military actions occurred between Israel and Iran, sustaining market confidence in the ceasefire continuation through July 20.
Jul 18 2026
Israel refrains from strikes on Iran amid ongoing US-Iran conflict
July 18 jumps to 100%7%
Despite ongoing US strikes on Iran and Iranian threats, Israel did not engage in military actions against Iran on July 18, 2026, reinforcing market confidence that the Israel-Iran ceasefire would hold through this date.
Jul 18 2026
Israel abstains from strikes on Iran as ceasefire frays between US and Tehran
July 20 surges to 99%48%
Despite the breakdown of a fragile ceasefire between Washington and Tehran, Israel did not participate in recent strikes on Iran, and Iran refrained from attacking Israel. This absence of qualifying military actions between Israel and Iran supported the market's rising confidence in the ceasefire holding through July 20.
Jul 17 2026
US sends dozens of refueling aircraft to Israel amid rising tensions with Iran
July 18 surges to 96%46%
On July 17, 2026, the US deployed additional refueling aircraft to Israel, signaling preparedness for potential escalation but no direct Israeli military action against Iran occurred. This bolstered market confidence that the ceasefire between Israel and Iran remained intact as Israel refrained from strikes during this period.
Jul 17 2026
US deploys additional refueling aircraft to Israel amid regional tensions
July 18 surges to 96%46%
On July 17, 2026, the US sent dozens of refueling aircraft to Israel signaling preparedness for potential escalation, but no direct Israeli military action against Iran occurred, supporting market confidence in the ceasefire continuation.
"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?" হলো Polymarket-এ 7 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "July 20" 100%-এ, তারপর "July 18" 100%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।
আজ পর্যন্ত, "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?" মোট $1.5 million ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Jul 16, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।
"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 7 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।
"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "July 20" 100%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 100% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "July 18" 100%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।
"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।
হ্যাঁ। তথ্যবান থাকতে আপনাকে ট্রেড করতে হবে না। এই পেজটি "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?"-এর একটি লাইভ ট্র্যাকার হিসেবে কাজ করে। নতুন ট্রেড আসলে ফলাফল সম্ভাবনা রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।
Polymarket অডস প্রকৃত ট্রেডাররা তাদের বিশ্বাসের পেছনে প্রকৃত অর্থ রাখে, যা নির্ভুল প্রেডিকশন সামনে আনতে থাকে। "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?"-এ $1.5 million ট্রেড হওয়ায়, এই দামগুলো হাজারো অংশগ্রহণকারীর সম্মিলিত জ্ঞান ও প্রত্যয় একত্রিত করে — প্রায়ই পোল, বিশেষজ্ঞ ফোরকাস্ট ও ঐতিহ্যবাহী সার্ভেকে ছাড়িয়ে যায়। Polymarket-এর এক মাসের নির্ভুলতা স্কোর 94%। Polymarket-এর প্রেডিকশন নির্ভুলতার সর্বশেষ পরিসংখ্যানের জন্য, দেখুন accuracy পেজ Polymarket-এ।
"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?"-এ আপনার প্রথম ট্রেড করতে, একটি বিনামূল্যে Polymarket অ্যাকাউন্টে সাইন আপ করুন এবং ক্রিপ্টো, ক্রেডিট বা ডেবিট কার্ড, বা ব্যাংক ট্রান্সফার ব্যবহার করে ফান্ড করুন। অ্যাকাউন্ট ফান্ড হলে, এই পেজে ফিরে আসুন, যে ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে চান সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন।
Polymarket-এ, প্রতিটি ফলাফলের দাম মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে। "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?" মার্কেটে "July 20"-এর জন্য 100¢ দামে মানে ট্রেডাররা সম্মিলিতভাবে "July 20" সঠিক ফলাফল হওয়ার প্রায় 100% সম্ভাবনা বিশ্বাস করে। আপনি 100¢-এ "Yes" শেয়ার কিনলে এবং ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনি প্রতি শেয়ারে $1.00 পাবেন — প্রতি শেয়ারে 0¢ লাভ।
"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?" মার্কেট Aug 31, 2026 বা তার আশেপাশে রেজলভ হওয়ার জন্য নির্ধারিত। মানে সেই তারিখ পর্যন্ত ট্রেডিং খোলা থাকবে এবং নতুন তথ্য বের হওয়ার সাথে অডস পরিবর্তিত হতে থাকবে।
"Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?" মার্কেটে 9 মন্তব্যের একটি ক্রমবর্ধমান আলোচনা আছে যেখানে ট্রেডাররা তাদের বিশ্লেষণ শেয়ার করে, ফলাফল নিয়ে বিতর্ক করে এবং ব্রেকিং ডেভেলপমেন্ট আলোচনা করে। অন্য অংশগ্রহণকারীরা কী মনে করেন পড়তে নিচে মন্তব্য সেকশনে স্ক্রল করুন।
Polymarket হলো বিশ্বের সবচেয়ে বড় প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট, যেখানে আপনি বাস্তব-বিশ্বের ইভেন্টের জ্ঞান থেকে তথ্যবান থাকতে ও লাভ করতে পারেন। ট্রেডাররা রাজনীতি ও নির্বাচন থেকে ক্রিপ্টো, ফাইন্যান্স, স্পোর্টস, টেক ও কালচার পর্যন্ত টপিকের ফলাফলে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে, "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?"-এর মতো মার্কেট সহ।
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