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বিশ্ব·মধ্যপ্রাচ্য

ইরানের নেতার ২০২৬ সালের সমাপ্তি?

icon for ইরানের নেতার ২০২৬ সালের সমাপ্তি?
বিশ্ব·মধ্যপ্রাচ্য

ইরানের নেতার ২০২৬ সালের সমাপ্তি?

মোজতবা খামেনেই 82.5%

রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই 4.4%

রেজা পাহলাভি 3.4%

আলিরেজা আরাফি 2.4%

Polymarket

$38,660,953 Vol.

মোজতবা খামেনেই 82.5%

রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই 4.4%

রেজা পাহলাভি 3.4%

আলিরেজা আরাফি 2.4%

Polymarket

$38,660,953 Vol.

মোজতবা খামেনেই

$6,048,525 Vol.

83%

রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই

$1,149,290 Vol.

4%

রেজা পাহলাভি

$672,872 Vol.

3%

আলিরেজা আরাফি

$2,312,138 Vol.

2%

মাহমুদ আহমাদিনেজাদ

$1,120,783 Vol.

2%

হাসান রুহানি

$944,785 Vol.

1%

মাসউদ পেজেশকিয়ান

$1,020,268 Vol.

1%

হাসান খোমেনি

$1,425,550 Vol.

1%

আহমদ বাহিদি

$776,892 Vol.

1%

মোহাম্মদ-বাঘের ঘালিবাফ

$918,142 Vol.

1%

মুহাম্মাদ মীরবাকেরি

$437,732 Vol.

<1%

আব্বাস আরাঘচি

$833,568 Vol.

<1%

সাদেক লারিজানি

$535,558 Vol.

<1%

হাসান শরিয়তমাদারি

$3,145,258 Vol.

<1%

মরিয়ম রাজাভি

$806,001 Vol.

<1%

মাসউদ রাজাভি

$397,970 Vol.

<1%

সেইয়েদ হোসেইন মুসাভিয়ান

$3,694,591 Vol.

<1%

রেজা পিরজাদেহ

$146,761 Vol.

<1%

নাভিদ শোমালী

$214,706 Vol.

<1%

মুস্তাফা হিজরি

$199,243 Vol.

<1%

আলী মতাহারী

$836,283 Vol.

<1%

গোলাম-আলী হাদ্দাদ-আদেল

$434,050 Vol.

<1%

মোস্তাফা পৌরমুহাম্মাদি

$3,347,820 Vol.

<1%

সাদেগ মাহসুলি

$239,287 Vol.

<1%

সাঈদ জালিলি

$388,272 Vol.

<1%

মোহাম্মদ খাতামি

$5,192,146 Vol.

<1%

মোহসেন আরাকি

$281,818 Vol.

<1%

নাসির হোসেইনি

$254,631 Vol.

<1%

আহমাদ হোসেইনি খোরাসানি

$306,727 Vol.

<1%

আলী আসগর হেজাযি

$342,427 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Mojtaba Khamenei's dominant position in the market reflects his March 2026 election by the Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. Traders price in regime continuity and institutional preference for a familiar hardline figure tied to the clerical-security establishment, despite Mojtaba's limited public role and reports of injuries sustained in the attacks that have raised questions about his capacity. Competing names such as Alireza Arafi, Hassan Khomeini, and others remain low-probability alternatives because the Assembly acted swiftly to fill the vacancy under crisis conditions, and no subsequent challenges or structural changes have altered the succession. Health-related uncertainty around Mojtaba and potential factional pressures within the IRGC or clerical networks represent the main variables that could still shift odds before year-end.

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.

Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.

If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.

Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.

Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.

If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
ভলিউম
$38,660,953
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Mojtaba Khamenei's dominant position in the market reflects his March 2026 election by the Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader following the assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, amid U.S.-Israeli strikes. Traders price in regime continuity and institutional preference for a familiar hardline figure tied to the clerical-security establishment, despite Mojtaba's limited public role and reports of injuries sustained in the attacks that have raised questions about his capacity. Competing names such as Alireza Arafi, Hassan Khomeini, and others remain low-probability alternatives because the Assembly acted swiftly to fill the vacancy under crisis conditions, and no subsequent challenges or structural changes have altered the succession. Health-related uncertainty around Mojtaba and potential factional pressures within the IRGC or clerical networks represent the main variables that could still shift odds before year-end.

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.

Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.

If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.

Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.

Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.

If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
ভলিউম
$38,660,953
শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 28, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

সম্পর্কিত

icon for ২০২৬ সালে কি রেজা পাহলাভি ইরানকে নেতৃত্ব দেবেন?

২০২৬ সালে কি রেজা পাহলাভি ইরানকে নেতৃত্ব দেবেন?

3%
হ্যাঁ
icon for Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

90%
icon for ২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরানি সরকার পতন হবে কি?

২০২৭ সালের আগে ইরানি সরকার পতন হবে কি?

7%
হ্যাঁ

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"ইরানের নেতার ২০২৬ সালের সমাপ্তি?" হলো Polymarket-এ 32 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "মোজতবা খামেনেই" 83%-এ, তারপর "রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই" 4%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "ইরানের নেতার ২০২৬ সালের সমাপ্তি?" মোট $38.7 million ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Feb 28, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"ইরানের নেতার ২০২৬ সালের সমাপ্তি?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 32 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"ইরানের নেতার ২০২৬ সালের সমাপ্তি?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "মোজতবা খামেনেই" 83%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 83% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "রাষ্ট্রপ্রধান নেই" 4%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"ইরানের নেতার ২০২৬ সালের সমাপ্তি?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।