Iran’s refusal to forgo uranium enrichment remains the central barrier in ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, with enrichment on Iranian soil treated as a non-negotiable red line by Tehran. Recent developments include the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which deferred the issue for further discussion, followed by Iran’s August demands for sanctions relief, asset releases, and an end to military threats before any broader concessions. U.S. proposals for a 20-year moratorium or zero enrichment on Iranian territory have gone unmet, while military strikes on facilities in 2025–2026 have degraded capacity without producing agreement. These factors sustain trader consensus that Iran will not commit to ending enrichment by year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড11% সম্ভাবনা
$1,632,617 Vol.
$1,632,617 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
11% সম্ভাবনা
$1,632,617 Vol.
$1,632,617 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s refusal to forgo uranium enrichment remains the central barrier in ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, with enrichment on Iranian soil treated as a non-negotiable red line by Tehran. Recent developments include the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which deferred the issue for further discussion, followed by Iran’s August demands for sanctions relief, asset releases, and an end to military threats before any broader concessions. U.S. proposals for a 20-year moratorium or zero enrichment on Iranian territory have gone unmet, while military strikes on facilities in 2025–2026 have degraded capacity without producing agreement. These factors sustain trader consensus that Iran will not commit to ending enrichment by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,632,617শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran’s refusal to forgo uranium enrichment remains the central barrier in ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, with enrichment on Iranian soil treated as a non-negotiable red line by Tehran. Recent developments include the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which deferred the issue for further discussion, followed by Iran’s August demands for sanctions relief, asset releases, and an end to military threats before any broader concessions. U.S. proposals for a 20-year moratorium or zero enrichment on Iranian territory have gone unmet, while military strikes on facilities in 2025–2026 have degraded capacity without producing agreement. These factors sustain trader consensus that Iran will not commit to ending enrichment by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$1,632,617শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s refusal to forgo uranium enrichment remains the central barrier in ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, with enrichment on Iranian soil treated as a non-negotiable red line by Tehran. Recent developments include the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which deferred the issue for further discussion, followed by Iran’s August demands for sanctions relief, asset releases, and an end to military threats before any broader concessions. U.S. proposals for a 20-year moratorium or zero enrichment on Iranian territory have gone unmet, while military strikes on facilities in 2025–2026 have degraded capacity without producing agreement. These factors sustain trader consensus that Iran will not commit to ending enrichment by year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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