Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March through the constitutional process. The transition occurred amid active conflict, domestic protests, and economic strain, yet the regime's security apparatus and clerical establishment maintained continuity. As of August 2026, Mojtaba remains in office with official statements affirming his health despite persistent rumors of injuries and limited public appearances following the strikes. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of additional turnover, driven by elite consolidation, Mojtaba's institutional backing, and the regime's survival through prior military pressure. Variables that could shift probabilities include renewed diplomatic negotiations, escalation in regional conflicts, internal factional realignments, or verifiable health developments before mid-2027 resolution windows.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$23,646,092 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
August 22
<1%
August 31
1%
September 30
5%
October 31
8%
November 30
11%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
17%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,646,092 Vol.
August 22
$61,185 Vol.
<1%
August 31
$1,198,267 Vol.
1%
September 30
$466,229 Vol.
5%
October 31
$19,605 Vol.
8%
November 30
$14,708 Vol.
11%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
$4,034,467 Vol.
17%
June 30, 2027
$243,441 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March through the constitutional process. The transition occurred amid active conflict, domestic protests, and economic strain, yet the regime's security apparatus and clerical establishment maintained continuity. As of August 2026, Mojtaba remains in office with official statements affirming his health despite persistent rumors of injuries and limited public appearances following the strikes. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of additional turnover, driven by elite consolidation, Mojtaba's institutional backing, and the regime's survival through prior military pressure. Variables that could shift probabilities include renewed diplomatic negotiations, escalation in regional conflicts, internal factional realignments, or verifiable health developments before mid-2027 resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$23,646,092শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March through the constitutional process. The transition occurred amid active conflict, domestic protests, and economic strain, yet the regime's security apparatus and clerical establishment maintained continuity. As of August 2026, Mojtaba remains in office with official statements affirming his health despite persistent rumors of injuries and limited public appearances following the strikes. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of additional turnover, driven by elite consolidation, Mojtaba's institutional backing, and the regime's survival through prior military pressure. Variables that could shift probabilities include renewed diplomatic negotiations, escalation in regional conflicts, internal factional realignments, or verifiable health developments before mid-2027 resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$23,646,092শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March through the constitutional process. The transition occurred amid active conflict, domestic protests, and economic strain, yet the regime's security apparatus and clerical establishment maintained continuity. As of August 2026, Mojtaba remains in office with official statements affirming his health despite persistent rumors of injuries and limited public appearances following the strikes. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds of additional turnover, driven by elite consolidation, Mojtaba's institutional backing, and the regime's survival through prior military pressure. Variables that could shift probabilities include renewed diplomatic negotiations, escalation in regional conflicts, internal factional realignments, or verifiable health developments before mid-2027 resolution windows.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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