Recent ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models show Moscow's maximum temperature on August 7 likely peaking near 30°C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 29–31°C due to narrow model spread. Surface high pressure and light southwesterly flow support daytime warming, while increasing cloud cover and possible late-day showers could cap the peak by limiting solar insolation. Historical August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet current positive temperature anomalies of 5–8°C above normal sustain the elevated outlook. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include precise timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C; updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 7?
30°C 35%
29°C 28%
31°C 21%
32°C 11%
28°C or below
10%
29°C
28%
30°C
35%
31°C
21%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
29°C 28%
31°C 21%
32°C 11%
28°C or below
10%
29°C
28%
30°C
35%
31°C
21%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models show Moscow's maximum temperature on August 7 likely peaking near 30°C, with trader-implied odds clustering tightly around 29–31°C due to narrow model spread. Surface high pressure and light southwesterly flow support daytime warming, while increasing cloud cover and possible late-day showers could cap the peak by limiting solar insolation. Historical August averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet current positive temperature anomalies of 5–8°C above normal sustain the elevated outlook. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include precise timing of any frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C; updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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