Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus show Moscow under fair skies with a surface high promoting daytime heating to peak values of 26–29 °C on August 1. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and minimal advection expected from northerly flow. Early-August climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, so the current setup represents modest positive anomalies driven by clear-sky insolation and low soil moisture. Updated model runs issued within the past 24 hours have held steady, limiting downside risk for lower outcomes while capping upside potential absent unexpected warming aloft.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 1?
27°C 49%
28°C 29%
26°C 9%
29°C 9%
নতুন
$21,062 Vol.
নতুন
$21,062 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
49%
28°C
29%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 49%
28°C 29%
26°C 9%
29°C 9%
নতুন
$21,062 Vol.
নতুন
$21,062 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
20°C or below
$469 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$854 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$728 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$726 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,274 Vol.
9%
27°C
$2,600 Vol.
49%
28°C
$2,902 Vol.
29%
29°C
$7,098 Vol.
9%
30°C or higher
$2,232 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus show Moscow under fair skies with a surface high promoting daytime heating to peak values of 26–29 °C on August 1. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and minimal advection expected from northerly flow. Early-August climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, so the current setup represents modest positive anomalies driven by clear-sky insolation and low soil moisture. Updated model runs issued within the past 24 hours have held steady, limiting downside risk for lower outcomes while capping upside potential absent unexpected warming aloft.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$21,062শেষ তারিখ
Aug 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus show Moscow under fair skies with a surface high promoting daytime heating to peak values of 26–29 °C on August 1. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and minimal advection expected from northerly flow. Early-August climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, so the current setup represents modest positive anomalies driven by clear-sky insolation and low soil moisture. Updated model runs issued within the past 24 hours have held steady, limiting downside risk for lower outcomes while capping upside potential absent unexpected warming aloft.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$21,062শেষ তারিখ
Aug 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS consensus show Moscow under fair skies with a surface high promoting daytime heating to peak values of 26–29 °C on August 1. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and minimal advection expected from northerly flow. Early-August climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, so the current setup represents modest positive anomalies driven by clear-sky insolation and low soil moisture. Updated model runs issued within the past 24 hours have held steady, limiting downside risk for lower outcomes while capping upside potential absent unexpected warming aloft.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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