Recent model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and NOAA points to a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean sustaining clear skies and light northerly flow, keeping Istanbul's peak temperatures clustered near 27–28°C on August 2. Subtle differences in sea-breeze onset from the Marmara and Black Sea, afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor variations in low-level humidity explain the tight split between those two bins, while stronger onshore winds or brief cloud build-up could cap readings at 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily maxima of 27–29°C, and the market-implied probabilities reflect traders weighting the latest ensemble runs against urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow 27–28°C spread.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 2?
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
41%
28°C
32%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 11%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
$251 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$355 Vol.
2%
25°C
$139 Vol.
2%
26°C
$390 Vol.
12%
27°C
$321 Vol.
41%
28°C
$589 Vol.
32%
29°C
$338 Vol.
11%
30°C
$475 Vol.
4%
31°C
$146 Vol.
2%
32°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and NOAA points to a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean sustaining clear skies and light northerly flow, keeping Istanbul's peak temperatures clustered near 27–28°C on August 2. Subtle differences in sea-breeze onset from the Marmara and Black Sea, afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor variations in low-level humidity explain the tight split between those two bins, while stronger onshore winds or brief cloud build-up could cap readings at 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily maxima of 27–29°C, and the market-implied probabilities reflect traders weighting the latest ensemble runs against urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow 27–28°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,308শেষ তারিখ
Aug 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and NOAA points to a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean sustaining clear skies and light northerly flow, keeping Istanbul's peak temperatures clustered near 27–28°C on August 2. Subtle differences in sea-breeze onset from the Marmara and Black Sea, afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor variations in low-level humidity explain the tight split between those two bins, while stronger onshore winds or brief cloud build-up could cap readings at 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily maxima of 27–29°C, and the market-implied probabilities reflect traders weighting the latest ensemble runs against urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow 27–28°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$3,308শেষ তারিখ
Aug 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like ECMWF and NOAA points to a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean sustaining clear skies and light northerly flow, keeping Istanbul's peak temperatures clustered near 27–28°C on August 2. Subtle differences in sea-breeze onset from the Marmara and Black Sea, afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor variations in low-level humidity explain the tight split between those two bins, while stronger onshore winds or brief cloud build-up could cap readings at 26°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily maxima of 27–29°C, and the market-implied probabilities reflect traders weighting the latest ensemble runs against urban heat-island effects at official stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow 27–28°C spread.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা