Divergent short-range model outputs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles are the main driver behind the near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C implied probabilities for Madrid’s August 2 maximum. Latest guidance shows a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm-air advection from North Africa under mostly clear skies, with daytime heating amplified by Madrid’s urban heat island; however, slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak Atlantic trough produce a tight cluster of solutions between 35–37 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Traders are watching the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus AEMET’s morning update for any shift in the thermal ridge that could tip resolution between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
36°C 49%
37°C 43%
38°C 6%
35°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
49%
37°C
43%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 49%
37°C 43%
38°C 6%
35°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
$535 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$277 Vol.
1%
34°C
$560 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,038 Vol.
5%
36°C
$1,937 Vol.
49%
37°C
$1,980 Vol.
43%
38°C
$328 Vol.
6%
39°C
$401 Vol.
1%
40°C
$342 Vol.
1%
41°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent short-range model outputs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles are the main driver behind the near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C implied probabilities for Madrid’s August 2 maximum. Latest guidance shows a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm-air advection from North Africa under mostly clear skies, with daytime heating amplified by Madrid’s urban heat island; however, slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak Atlantic trough produce a tight cluster of solutions between 35–37 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Traders are watching the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus AEMET’s morning update for any shift in the thermal ridge that could tip resolution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,816শেষ তারিখ
Aug 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent short-range model outputs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles are the main driver behind the near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C implied probabilities for Madrid’s August 2 maximum. Latest guidance shows a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm-air advection from North Africa under mostly clear skies, with daytime heating amplified by Madrid’s urban heat island; however, slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak Atlantic trough produce a tight cluster of solutions between 35–37 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Traders are watching the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus AEMET’s morning update for any shift in the thermal ridge that could tip resolution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$7,816শেষ তারিখ
Aug 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Divergent short-range model outputs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles are the main driver behind the near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C implied probabilities for Madrid’s August 2 maximum. Latest guidance shows a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm-air advection from North Africa under mostly clear skies, with daytime heating amplified by Madrid’s urban heat island; however, slight differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak Atlantic trough produce a tight cluster of solutions between 35–37 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Traders are watching the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus AEMET’s morning update for any shift in the thermal ridge that could tip resolution between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা