Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models show London under stable high pressure with light southwesterly flow, supporting a daytime maximum near 26 °C on August 1. This consensus underpins the market’s leading 51 % implied probability for 26 °C and 32 % for 25 °C, while the 15 % chance for 27 °C captures residual uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification and afternoon cloud timing. Values above 28 °C remain low-probability outliers given current guidance, and the slight elevation above the long-term August mean of 23–24 °C reflects warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea. Updated model runs this afternoon will further narrow the range before official verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in London on August 1?
26°C 51%
25°C 32%
27°C 15%
24°C 2%
$50,960 Vol.
$50,960 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
32%
26°C
51%
27°C
15%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 32%
27°C 15%
24°C 2%
$50,960 Vol.
$50,960 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
32%
26°C
51%
27°C
15%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models show London under stable high pressure with light southwesterly flow, supporting a daytime maximum near 26 °C on August 1. This consensus underpins the market’s leading 51 % implied probability for 26 °C and 32 % for 25 °C, while the 15 % chance for 27 °C captures residual uncertainty in urban heat-island amplification and afternoon cloud timing. Values above 28 °C remain low-probability outliers given current guidance, and the slight elevation above the long-term August mean of 23–24 °C reflects warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea. Updated model runs this afternoon will further narrow the range before official verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা