Trader consensus on the Mexico City daily high temperature market reflects tight scientific uncertainty between 25–26 °C, driven by the interplay of high-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, strong urban heat-island effects, and variable convective cloud cover during the peak of the rainy season. Official forecast guidance shows modest model spread on afternoon insolation and thunderstorm timing, with any earlier or more widespread convection likely capping the high near 25 °C while clearer breaks could allow brief warming to 26 °C. Historical August baselines and current moisture profiles support this narrow range, and the next model runs plus real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the clearest near-term resolution signal.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 12?
26°C 46%
25°C 36%
27°C 11%
24°C 10%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
36%
26°C
46%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 46%
25°C 36%
27°C 11%
24°C 10%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
36%
26°C
46%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Mexico City daily high temperature market reflects tight scientific uncertainty between 25–26 °C, driven by the interplay of high-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, strong urban heat-island effects, and variable convective cloud cover during the peak of the rainy season. Official forecast guidance shows modest model spread on afternoon insolation and thunderstorm timing, with any earlier or more widespread convection likely capping the high near 25 °C while clearer breaks could allow brief warming to 26 °C. Historical August baselines and current moisture profiles support this narrow range, and the next model runs plus real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will provide the clearest near-term resolution signal.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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